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[NL20-NL50] River bluff

    • luckylooser88
      luckylooser88
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.03.2010 Posts: 714
      PokerStars - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      Hero (BTN): $15.37
      SB: $14.37
      BB: $10.00
      UTG: $10.13
      CO: $17.68

      SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero has A:heart: 7:heart:

      fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.25, SB calls $0.20, fold

      Flop: ($0.60, 2 players) 6:spade: 3:heart: 8:club:
      SB bets $0.40, Hero calls $0.40

      Turn: ($1.40, 2 players) 3:spade:
      SB bets $0.50, Hero raises to $2.10, SB calls $1.60

      River: ($5.60, 2 players) K:club:
      SB bets $1.00, Hero raises to $5.50

      Stats:
      41\16\2.2\50

      Here's how i saw it: He donks on flop w/ lots of pairs (8,6,PP 33-TT), I float in case a nice turn hits. turn - blank but his bet was very small and I usually response with a raise at this type of bets coming from agrofishes. The K on the river crushes his ENTIRE range of donking preflop and he only has bluff catchers plus his 1/5 bet kinda looks like a blockbet to see a cheap showdown with his 2nd pair/3rd pair. He needs to fold at least 45% in order to be a profitable bluff.
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      against 41/16 it is questionable if he would b/f there 8x hand.
      He would likely b/f 6x and he would never b/f Kx (if he had there some kind of flushdraw on the flop), so I´d mostly raise river for value and sometimes making plays (if I have good image). If player has seen mw bluffing, I think you don´t have fold equity against pairs