[NL2-NL10] QQ 4bet

    • w4terman
      Joined: 04.04.2011 Posts: 757
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($10)
      BB ($3.68)
      UTG ($11.03)
      Hero ($13.29)
      UTG+2 ($10)
      MP1 ($3.18)
      CO ($4.19)
      BTN ($16.98)

      Dealt to Hero Q:heart: Q:spade:

      UTG raises to $0.30, Hero calls $0.30, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, BB raises to $1, fold, Hero raises to $5.10, BB calls $2.68 (AI)

      FLOP ($7.71) 2:club: 7:heart: 8:spade:

      TURN ($7.71) 2:club: 7:heart: 8:spade: 9:heart:

      RIVER ($7.71) 2:club: 7:heart: 8:spade: 9:heart: J:club:

      15vpip 11pfr 6 3bet
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello w4terman,

      At the best you anyways get a coinflip here. :) But obviously against that kind of stack shouldn't be that huge problem to get it in. We need ~44% equity here to make it break-even. And for example:

             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    52.63%  51.05%   1.58% { JJ+, AKs, AKo }
      UTG+1  47.37%  45.79%   1.58% { QhQs }

      Against that kind of range we get pretty close to that. :D Which means, that he has to be 3betting also with JJ. But is he? How has he been playing vs UTG range? Doubt that we can count the 3bet as very good stat here. Rather have to know the opponent. If we would even exclude the JJ:

             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    59.79%  57.93%   1.86% { QQ+, AKs, AKo }
      UTG+1  40.21%  38.35%   1.86% { QhQs }

      We are doing much worse, which says rather fold the hand. :)

      Best regards.