[NL20-NL50] Bluff's in his range?

    • MaHnaK
      MaHnaK
      Bronze
      Joined: 29.01.2009 Posts: 4,226
      Is river call a +EV? or Is it clear FOLD?

      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.1/$0.25 Pot-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)

      Known players:
      UTG2:
      $21.54
      MP1:
      $28.86
      MP2:
      $26.95
      MP3:
      $24.82
      CO:
      $28.42
      BU (Hero):
      $25.00
      SB:
      $10.48
      BB:
      $25.00


      Preflop: Hero is BU with 5, 5.
      UTG2 raises to $0.85, 2 folds, MP3 calls $0.85, CO calls $0.85, Hero calls $0.85, 2 folds, BB folds.

      Flop: ($3.75) 4, 5, 9 (4 players)
      UTG2 checks, MP3 checks, CO checks, Hero bets $2.75, UTG2 folds, MP3 calls $2.75, CO folds.

      Turn: ($9.25) 3 (2 players)
      MP3 checks, Hero bets $5.50, MP3 calls $5.50.

      River: ($20.25) 6 (2 players)
      MP3 bets $15.72, Hero calls $15.72.

      Final Pot: $51.69.
  • 2 replies
    • Jaissica
      Jaissica
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.02.2009 Posts: 1,385
      Crying call to catch a busted spade bluff / overplayed 2 pair, but we are probably losing half the time here to something like 77.

      Even then though its worth a call :)
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      bet 7$ on the turn- then it is easy call, since you get quite good odds.
      I´d likely would also call there, since it is quite scary board and his range has more missed flushdraws than 7x to get on the river