[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL50 - 3bet pot boat herofold!?

    • StaticMoth
      Joined: 22.05.2009 Posts: 2,642
      I'm a lagtard reg, he's a TAG
      Was happy about the river, thinking I'm going to chop now vs AK, but at the same time I'm never winning.

      I'm calling for a chop or losing to KK+/9x.
      As a standard, bluffshoving on that river would be suicidal by villain, but given his stats/image and my laggy stats/image, I could see him triple barreling air vs me as well to get me off anything under Kx (not too often though, but I don't think it to be unimaginable, totally off the table)

      Would you consider this as a "standard cooler" or should I be able to herofold this from time to time ?

      I'm getting basically BE or slightly below BE pot odds vs his range (depending on how many Kx combos we give him and also not including any complete airball 3barrel bluffs)

      I guess, give his postflop frequencies/stats, this should be in the "oh well, cooler" category?

      (+ he had 10% 3bet from blinds vs BU open)

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($50.50)
      BB ($75.82)
      CO ($73.28)
      Hero ($51.50)

      Dealt to Hero Q:heart: K:club:

      fold, Hero raises to $1.25, fold, BB raises to $4, Hero calls $2.75

      FLOP ($8.25) 9:spade: K:diamond: 5:spade:

      BB bets $4.50, Hero calls $4.50

      TURN ($17.25) 9:spade: K:diamond: 5:spade: 9:heart:

      BB bets $10, Hero calls $10

      RIVER ($37.25) 9:spade: K:diamond: 5:spade: 9:heart: 9:diamond:

      BB bets $56.82, Hero calls $33 (AI)

      BB shows A:club: 9:club:
      (Pre 59%, Flop 20.2%, Turn 95.5%)

      Hero shows Q:heart: K:club:
      (Pre 41%, Flop 79.8%, Turn 4.5%)

      BB wins $100
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      seems standard calldown.
      He is shoving for value any Kx hand and his range are definitely enough air that he is 3-barreling. Don´t see how you can fold your third best hand on that river.