[NL20-NL50] FR25 79s hit SD on flop

    • Evante
      Joined: 07.12.2009 Posts: 833
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.1/$0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)

      Known players:
      BB (Hero):

      Preflop: Hero is BB with 7, 9.
      3 folds, MP2 raises to $0.75, MP3 calls $0.75, 3 folds, Hero calls $0.50.

      Flop: ($2.35) 2, T, 8 (3 players)
      Hero checks, MP2 bets $1.50, MP3 folds, Hero raises to $4.50, MP2 raises to $11.00, Hero calls $6.50.

      Turn: ($24.35) 6 (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP2 bets $14.94, Hero calls $14.94.

      River: ($54.23) 3 (2 players)

      Final Pot: $54.23.

      Results follow:

      Hero shows a straight, ten high(7d 9d).
      MP2 shows three of a kind, tens(Td Th).

      Hero wins with a straight, ten high(7d 9d).

      Is it a good idea with my line? or i am sure to lose alot of money if i continue playing like this?
      I was planning to fold the turn if i missed my draw
      Should I just shove the flop?

  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I think it is quite bad to get all-in with no fold equity just with oesd
      So it is question if you can hit your 8 outs to hit his overpair or sets
      You need to call 6.5$ to win 17.85$, getting 2.75:1, so you need to have 26% equity.
      There are 52 cards on the deck, 8 would help you; 3 are on the board and likely 2 are also dead (unless he decides to play JJ that way).
      So you get 8/47= 17% equity, which would rather make fold.
      But consider he would shove any turn with his set and most turns his overpair you can also consider a lot of times his 15$, which should make flop call fine after you c/r him. 6.5$ to win 17.85+15$, getting 5.05:1- which is 16,5%
      Problem is when he has there set, he would also suck out river 20%, but I would generally prefer call having 8 clean outs, because I don´t want that players would 3-bet bluff me that spot