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[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL50 - Top two valueshove or not!?

    • StaticMoth
      Joined: 22.05.2009 Posts: 2,642
      Unknown villain ...

      Not worried about KK/QQ much ... just JJ/99
      and if we add in all the weaker two pair broadways and the occasional JTs/T9s + maybe even some combos of AK herocalling since the pot is huge and he has about 50% potsize left behind@river - we get about 55% equity.

      Since he didn't c/shove turn // donkshove river, I'm assuming he basically never has Tx, so even more equity for us - smth between 55-75% equity, depending how many AKs we give him and if we give him KJo/QJo or not.

      Standard shove then?

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($69.99)

      Dealt to Hero K:club: Q:diamond:

      Hero raises to $1.50, raises to $5, Hero calls $3.50

      FLOP ($10) Q:heart: J:diamond: 9:spade:

      bets $5, Hero calls $5

      TURN ($20) Q:heart: J:diamond: 9:spade: K:diamond:

      checks, Hero bets $12.75, calls $12.75

      RIVER ($45.50) Q:heart: J:diamond: 9:spade: K:diamond: 8:club:

      checks, Hero bets $46.99, calls $27.25

      Hero shows K:club: Q:diamond:
      (Pre 44%, Flop 15.2%, Turn 13.6%)

      shows J:club: J:heart:
      (Pre 56%, Flop 84.8%, Turn 86.4%)

      wins $99
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I would not shove river, since I´m not really sure he would call me down with AA or AK and he would definitely fold worse hands
      So you maybe get value for two pair hands, that might also find herofold+ he would likely c/c there with his sets and sometimes Tx, since you would not call him down too often with two pair hands, so better is to induce with nuts, than just bet/bet/shove