[NL2-NL10] At Nl10

    • chrupens
      Joined: 01.03.2011 Posts: 168
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($10)
      BB ($11.62)
      UTG ($12.50)
      CO ($11.28)
      BTN ($10)

      Dealt to Hero A:diamond: T:diamond:

      fold, CO calls $0.10, fold, Hero raises to $0.50, fold, CO calls $0.40

      FLOP ($1.10) T:spade: J:diamond: 7:spade:

      Hero bets $0.70, CO calls $0.70

      TURN ($2.50) T:spade: J:diamond: 7:spade: A:club:

      Hero bets $1.80, CO raises to $3.60, Hero raises to $8.80 (AI), CO calls $5.20

      RIVER ($20.10) T:spade: J:diamond: 7:spade: A:club: 6:club:

      Vs total fish playing 91/4 with af=1 after 20 hands. Probably I'm result oriented but is there any way to fold it? I don't think so. I see some combinations of worse 2 pairs in his range, maybe some fd + gs that could play this way and only AJ KQ beats (I think even such fish would have raised or limp/3bet his TT, JJ ,AA.
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello chrupens,

      The problem is that you don't beat that many hands where which play this way. I mean what kind of 2pairs you beat? Only A7 and which even ain't that likely. Also even if I did add it then I did get something like that:

      Board: T:spade: J:diamond: 7:spade:  A:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    27.68%  24.07%   3.61% { AdTd }
      UTG+1  72.32%  68.70%   3.61% { JJ-TT, 77, AJs-ATs, A7s, KQs, JTs, 98s, AJo-ATo, A7o, KQo, JTo, 98o }

      Which tells me rather to Bet/Fold the turn. :(

      Even if we add a bit wider range there:

      Board: T:spade: J:diamond: 7:spade:  A:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    37.57%  34.71%   2.86% { AdTd }
      UTG+1  62.43%  59.56%   2.86% { JJ-TT, 77, ATs+, A7s, KQs, JTs, 98s, ATo+, A7o, KQo, JTo, 98o }

      Although I rarely doubt that he is even raising with hands like AQ/AK if he is even a passive player. But rather strong made hands.

      Best regards.