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[NL20-NL50] NL25 FR - QQ Overpair

    • chocular77
      chocular77
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,102
      Known players:
      Position:
      Stack
      MP1:
      $16,9
      Hero:
      $26,9

      0,15/0,25 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy.com Elephant 0.102 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with Q:spade: , Q:diamond:
      UTG2 folds, MP1 raises to $0,50, MP2 folds, Hero raises to $1,50, 4 folds, MP1 calls $1,00.

      Flop: ($3,40) 7:club: , 5:club: , 4:spade: (2 players)
      MP1 checks, Hero bets $2, MP1 raises to $4,00, Hero calls $2,00.

      Turn: ($11,40) T:heart: (2 players)
      MP1 raises $11,4 (All-In), Hero calls $11,40.

      River: ($34,20) 3:heart: (2 players)


      Final Pot: $34,20

      It was hard to call the River bet for me
      and i want to ask how i can calculate the EV with the Equilab on this hand because i think i only get a clear answer with it.
      I tried the range QQ-44 for the Villain.
      Is this a good way to calculate it or do you have some other tipps?
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      25/10 has wider range there, especially since he is middlestack.
      I think you can also had there Acxc and some combo draws, like 8c9c
      Either way I´m not folding turn, since I think that QQ is generally ahead against MP in 3-bet pot on that low board:

      board: 7c5c4s
      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      QsQd 63.38% 24,024 893
      44-JJ 36.62% 13,693 893

      If you add some flushdraws, you´re still favorite over his range:

      board: 7c5c4s
      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      QsQd 54.76% 31,316 1,337
      44-JJ, 8c9c, Ac*c, 45 45.24% 25,757 1,337

      So correct move would be either shove flop or call flop and shove on blank turn