[NL2-NL10] nl10 sh AQo

    • wnbMG
      Joined: 10.04.2011 Posts: 586
      more detailed...he really represent narrow range with raising on the flop (AK,set), but I think he would 4bet AK,KK,AA preflop so its possible to be bluff. on turn i picked good flush draw and it was hard spot to fold...
      23/20/AF:5.0/36%steal/fold to 3bet 50% (27 hands)
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($10)
      BB ($11.77)
      UTG ($10)
      CO ($10.62)
      BTN ($10.15)

      Dealt to Hero Q:diamond: A:heart:

      fold, fold, BTN raises to $0.30, Hero raises to $0.90, fold, BTN calls $0.60

      FLOP ($1.90) A:club: 5:diamond: K:diamond:

      Hero bets $1.30, BTN raises to $2.60, Hero calls $1.30

      TURN ($7.10) A:club: 5:diamond: K:diamond: J:diamond:

      Hero checks, BTN bets $5.32, Hero calls $5.32

      RIVER ($17.74) A:club: 5:diamond: K:diamond: J:diamond: 6:heart:

      Hero bets $1.18 (AI), BTN calls $1.18

      Hero shows Q:diamond: A:heart:
      (Pre 47%, Flop 89.7%, Turn 95.5%)

      BTN shows 4:spade: 4:diamond:
      (Pre 53%, Flop 10.3%, Turn 4.5%)

      Hero wins $18.76
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello wnbMG,

      Don't agree that he would always 4bet with AK/KK/AA, he may as well trap with hands like KK+. Which might even be the case for me depending on the opponent.

      But about the play it's kinda hard to fold while we only are beat by very few hands and also we are putting even bluffs into his range. Although as you may understand you have only 27 hands, can we really assume that? We practically just playing with variance here and without great assumptions/reads it will be hard to gain huge value in long run. Might even loose money. Since I don't even expect the opponent to raise the flop with AT-AJ if he even has such a range but rather a bluff or semi-bluff.

      From that I'd say also that I'd rather ship it on turn vs his play than leave something behind, we are pretty much committed anyways on river.

      Best regards.