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SNG 1st from 6 chips

    • dashe
      dashe
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.04.2009 Posts: 26
      Sometimes you get lucky, sometimes you don't. But this is ridiculous...
      Stars Hyper Turbo 6max
      Lost a coinflip and had 24chips left 80/40 Ante 8
      Have 6 chips after ante

      78s vs k9o and 2jo = 2pair
      $32 chips 66 vs k4o = trips
      50/100
      $116 85s, both called then another potted flop with 47o the other folded = won
      $368 k5o = pf
      $608 89o vs j9 = board: J79AT
      60/120
      $1090 Q4s vs K4s($624) = 2pair
      some shoving and folding hu
      $1942 T8o vs Q7s = 2pair

      Could not believe it. How would you calculate probability of this happening ?
  • 5 replies
    • Ramble
      Ramble
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 1,460
      Wow - I've had a few miracle comebacks to (~100 chips or like 1.5 BB's), but nothing like that... Congrats!!! That's got to be a good boost to your confidence level.
    • matel17
      matel17
      Bronze
      Joined: 11.07.2010 Posts: 1,278
      This happened to me once. Don't remember how many chips were left exactly but they were less than 1BB. I know it's an amazing feeling!! Congratz :D
    • esuohdla
      esuohdla
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.05.2011 Posts: 411
      Its insanely cool when this happens, you just win every hand :)
    • boyelsie
      boyelsie
      Bronze
      Joined: 28.08.2011 Posts: 4
      My fren had more amazing comeback last month...
      $2.50 buy in, 90players , 15min blinds

      AA vs KK = KK guy won with a set

      My Fren chips left 65, with over 75 players remaining, he got lucky with blind 30/60...

      Then, he finished 8th of 90 players. That more lucky.
      Busted hand all in preflop TT vs 99 = 99 guy hit a set on flop.

      *the next day he played the same tour again n finished 9th.
    • biogas
      biogas
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.07.2010 Posts: 413
      Originally posted by dashe

      78s vs k9o and 2jo = 2pair
      $32 chips 66 vs k4o = trips
      50/100
      $116 85s, both called then another potted flop with 47o the other folded = won
      $368 k5o = pf
      $608 89o vs j9 = board: J79AT
      60/120
      $1090 Q4s vs K4s($624) = 2pair
      some shoving and folding hu
      $1942 T8o vs Q7s = 2pair

      Could not believe it. How would you calculate probability of this happening ?
      78s vs k9o and 2jo 36%
      66 vs k4o 70%
      85s, vs 47o 64%
      89o vs j9 29%
      Q4s vs K4s 28%
      T8o vs Q7s 40%

      So multiply them up: 0.36*0.7*0.64*0.29*0.28*0.4=0.5% probability for this to happen.