[NL2-NL10] [NL2 FR BSS] Pot control or value-bet?

    • Elertar
      Joined: 11.08.2011 Posts: 164
      Known players:     

      0,01/0,02 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy.com Elephant 0.102 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is BB with T:club: , 5:diamond:
      UTG2 folds, MP1 calls $0,02, MP2 calls $0,02, 4 folds, Hero checks.

      Flop: ($0,07) A:diamond: , T:spade: , 9:spade: (3 players)
      Hero checks, MP1 bets $0,02, MP2 folds, Hero calls $0,02.

      Turn: ($0,11) T:heart: (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP1 bets $0,08, Hero raises to $0,32, MP1 calls $0,24.

      River: ($0,75) A:spade: (2 players)
      Hero checks

      The A on the river scared me as I feared he might had an ace, therefore I decided to go for pot control and check / call.

      I've calculated the equity for the vast hand range I put this guy on.

      Board: As Ad Ts Th 9s

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Villain: 60,602 % 60,602 % 0,000 % 39,398 % QQ-JJ, 88-66, A9s-A2s, KsQs, KsJs, QsJs, 8s7s, 7s6s, 6s5s, 5s4s, 4s3s, 3s2s, A9o-A2o
      Hero: 39,398 % 39,398 % 0,000 % 60,602 % Tc5d

      What do you think?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Elertar,

      Well, I doubt that we can go for Check/Call on river. Since if he is betting rather bigger then it's most likely Ax anyways. Doubt that we beat much on river than a bluff. But is he able to bluff?

      But most likely I'd rather donk myself on flop than Check/Call. ;)

      Best regards.