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[NL2-NL10] River decision

    • EdVardenis
      Joined: 13.12.2009 Posts: 248
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($10)
      BB ($10.99)
      UTG ($4)
      UTG+1 ($8.84)
      UTG+2 ($10)
      MP1 ($2.43)
      Hero ($10.80)
      BTN ($5.25)

      Dealt to Hero K:spade: K:diamond:

      fold, UTG+1 calls $0.10, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.40, fold, fold, BB calls $0.30, UTG+1 calls $0.30

      FLOP ($1.25) J:club: T:club: 5:diamond:

      BB checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $0.95, BB calls $0.95, UTG+1 folds

      TURN ($3.15) J:club: T:club: 5:diamond: Q:diamond:

      BB bets $2.20, Hero calls $2.20

      RIVER ($7.55) J:club: T:club: 5:diamond: Q:diamond: T:diamond:

      BB bets $7.44 (AI)

      At first I was thinking about fold, but now I think that It would be brake even call?
      Board: JcTc5dQdTd
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 33.33% 33.33% 0.00% { KdKc }
      MP3 66.67% 66.67% 0.00% { JJ-TT, KQs, QJs, JTs, 98s, AcQc }
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello EdVardenis,

      Doubt that he is shipping there with a lot worse. Rather has strong hand hands.

      Against some passive opponents I might even fold it on turn while we were multiway on flop and usually floating on that kind of board may easily even indicate to rather strength.

      Also I really doubt that he would ever play just TP of Qx like that unless he is spewing away money.

      Best regards.