[NL2-NL10] Nl6 Fr Kk 14.09

    • UnknownJoseph
      UnknownJoseph
      Silver
      Joined: 22.04.2010 Posts: 5,740
      Pacific Poker - $0.06 NL - Holdem - 8 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      Hero (CO): $6.00
      BTN: $6.00
      SB: $5.34
      BB: $2.23
      UTG: $6.11
      UTG+1: $4.05
      MP: $6.48
      MP+1: $3.19

      SB posts SB $0.03, BB posts BB $0.06

      Pre Flop: ($0.09) Hero has K:heart: K:diamond:

      fold, fold, fold, MP+1 raises to $0.12, Hero raises to $0.55, fold, fold, fold, MP+1 calls $0.43

      Flop: ($1.19, 2 players) Q:spade: 6:spade: 4:spade:
      MP+1 bets $2.64, Hero calls $2.64

      Turn: ($6.47, 2 players) A:heart:

      River: ($6.47, 2 players) 3:club:

      Hero shows K:heart: K:diamond: (One Pair, Kings) (Pre 71%, Flop 54%, Turn 2%)
      MP+1 shows T:club: A:spade: (One Pair, Aces) (Pre 29%, Flop 46%, Turn 98%)
      MP+1 wins $6.09


      no way to fold vs this stack...
  • 2 replies
    • YinYangS
      YinYangS
      Bronze
      Joined: 09.10.2010 Posts: 1,077
      i think it's a standard call. i would also think that by the way he overbet, he will almost always have the nut flush draw. and with that assumption, you have 54% chance of winning as he has 12 outs ( 3 A's and 9 spades).

      well played! :)
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello BGawli,

      We need ~41% equity for break-even and even if we put the opponent on strong made hands we are doing somewhat good:

      Board: Q:spade: 6:spade: 4:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    55.60%  54.05%   1.55% { AA, QQ, AQs, AQo, AsJh }
      UTG+1  44.40%  42.85%   1.55% { KdKh }

      So I doubt that I'd fold it either.

      Best regards.