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[NL2-NL10] [NL2 FR BSS] TPTK vs all-in on flop

    • Elertar
      Joined: 11.08.2011 Posts: 164
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.02(BB) Replayer
      SB ($2.54)
      BB ($1.32)
      UTG ($1.51)
      UTG+1 ($2.03)
      Hero ($2.05)
      MP1 ($2)
      MP2 ($5.87)
      CO ($3.07)
      BTN ($1.27)

      Dealt to Hero A:spade: K:spade:

      UTG raises to $0.08, fold, Hero raises to $0.24, MP1 calls $0.24, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold

      FLOP ($0.59) T:club: 8:heart: A:club:

      Hero bets $0.42, MP1 raises to $1.76 (AI), Hero ???

      I guess this is a fold. No stats whatsoever.
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Elertar,

      Well, the problem is that it's a 3bet pot. He may easily even play himself those kind of hands like Ax like this. Something like AJs may Call you, definitely AQ. We need ~33% equity here but against something like that:

      Board: T:club: 8:heart: A:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    55.67%  44.92%  10.74% { TT, 88, ATs+, AQo+, ATo }
      UTG+1  44.33%  33.59%  10.74% { AsKs }

      We even do get it, therefore if I went for value preflop with my 3bet then even against MP1 I'd consider going broke. He made a mistake if he really called for set value with his PPs.

      Best regards.