[NL20-NL50] SH pair+nut fd flop OOP play

    • gonepoker
      Joined: 15.05.2009 Posts: 439
      Prima Network $20.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1448094
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      CO: $21.20
      BTN: $23.22
      SB: $19.73
      Hero (BB): $20.30
      UTG: $31.21
      MP: $20.00

      Pre Flop: ($0.30) Hero is BB with Q :spade: K :spade:
      2 folds, CO raises to $0.60, 1 fold, SB calls $0.50, Hero calls $0.40

      Flop: ($1.80) Q :diamond: 4 :spade: A :spade: (3 players)
      SB bets $0.20, Hero raises to $1.80, CO raises to $5, SB folds, Hero raises to $19.70, CO calls $14.70

      Turn: ($41.40) K :club: (2 players)

      River: ($41.40) 8 :club: (2 players)

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      I am not sure if I played this hand right. I think his flop raising range is quite strong but I feel like calling reraise and hoping to hit on the turn is not good option too... What do you think?
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Worse case you have 36% equity against made hands

      board: QAs4s
      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      QsKs 36.80% 23,922 249
      AK, AQ, 44, AA, QQ 63.20% 41,169 249

      But he may also bet/3-bet there with all the worse flushdraws against that you have 95% equity+ he may sometimes bluffing that spot.
      So I´d prefer shoving flop where you have the most equity and see always turn and river card.

      If you just call and turn is blank- then he may shove sometimes with worse hands and you´re making incorrect fold.