[NL2-NL10] NL4 AKs flushdraw

    • Jaccuzzi
      Jaccuzzi
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.11.2009 Posts: 57
      Known players:
      Position:
      Stack
      MP1:
      $4.5
      Hero:
      $5.07

      0.02/0.04 No-Limit Hold'em (10 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy.com Elephant 0.102 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is BU with A:heart: , K:heart:
      3 folds, MP1 raises to $0.14, 3 folds, Hero raises to $0.52, 2 folds, MP1 calls $0.38.

      Flop: ($1.10) Q:heart: , 8:heart: , 7:club: (2 players)
      MP1 bets $1.1, Hero calls $1.10.

      Turn: ($3.30) 9:heart: (2 players)
      MP1 bets $2.48, Hero raises to $3.45 (All-In), MP1 raises to $2.88 (All-In).

      River: ($9.63) A:diamond: (2 players)


      Final Pot: $9.63

      Results follow (highlight to see):
      MP1 shows (Qd Qc)
      Hero shows a flush, ace high (Ah Kh)

      Hero wins with a flush, ace high (Ah Kh)

      on flop i used implied odds his potraise idicated a very strong made hand so i thought i could stack him if i hit. The question is didn't i made my hand too easy to read by this play?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Jaccuzzi,

      Well, shipping ain't a good idea here for the given reason that his donking range is rather strong. If we would ship here then we would need ~44% equity to make it break-even. But for example against hands like:

      Board: Q:heart: 8:heart: 7:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    39.49%  39.49%   0.00% { AhKh }
      UTG+1  60.51%  60.51%   0.00% { QQ, 88-77, AQs, KQs, AQo, KQo }

      We ain't getting it. For that reason we can Call for the implied odds but they are pretty high, ~$2,20 would be needed on turn which means his whole stack. But can we be sure of that to get? If you think so then sure your play is reasonable.

      Best regards.