[NL2-NL10] [NL2 FR BSS] AKo Blindsteal + donk bets

    • Elertar
      Elertar
      Bronze
      Joined: 11.08.2011 Posts: 164
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.02(BB) Replayer
      SB ($1.71)
      BB ($2)
      UTG ($2)
      UTG+1 ($1.03)
      UTG+2 ($3.79)
      CO ($4.35)
      Hero ($2)

      Dealt to Hero K:club: A:heart:

      fold, fold, fold, CO calls $0.02, Hero raises to $0.10, fold, BB raises to $0.34, fold, Hero calls $0.24

      FLOP ($0.71) A:spade: T:spade: T:diamond:

      BB bets $0.51, Hero calls $0.51

      TURN ($1.73) A:spade: T:spade: T:diamond: 6:heart:

      [color=red]BB bets $1.15 (AI), Hero ???

      BB is 15/11/1.9, 78 Fold BB to steal, over 219 hands.

      Preflop I'm not sure if it's ok to call or I have to 4bet.

      On the flop I think I'm ahead most of the time. AA, AT and TT are the hands I fear but he may be betting with AJ or AQ...

      UTG 64.48% 51.18% 13.30% AhKc
      UTG+1 35.52% 22.22% 13.30% AA, ATs+, ATo+

      The turn is a blank so I guess if I called the flop I have to call the turn too.

      Is this ok?
  • 3 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Elertar,

      Preflop: Well, really depends what's his 3bet here? It's a very important stat. While you can't Call it or either 4bet while not knowing that. Since in long run you ain't gonna do it profitable. Most likely if it's rather nitty one then I'd just fold it.

      As played
      Postflop: Nothing much to add, I am not folding my TPTK here. He may easily have worse Ax holdings and maybe even worse PPs.

      Best regards.
    • Elertar
      Elertar
      Bronze
      Joined: 11.08.2011 Posts: 164
      His global 3bet is 3%, 5% from the BB. According to this, what would be our action?
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by Elertar
      His global 3bet is 3%, 5% from the BB. According to this, what would be our action?
      Just fold it, at the best it's a flip. :(