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[NL20-NL50] UTG vs MP 3beter AJ

    • SPeedFANat1c
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,150
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.20(BB) Replayer
      SB ($40.89)
      BB ($23.01)
      Hero ($20)
      UTG+1 ($9.45)
      CO ($37.48)
      BTN ($17.98)

      Dealt to Hero J:diamond: A:heart:

      Hero raises to $0.80, UTG+1 raises to $2.60, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $9.80, UTG+1 calls $6.85 (AI)

      23/17/3.5 3bet 13.8

      Is it posible to go broke against his stack because he was 3beting me like 3 times already and all of them I folded? Or this hand is too weak and taking into account my and his positions? It just looked like a bluff, I was thinking how could he get a hand that often to 3bet, and he sees that I am tight so bluffs me.

      If he has lets say 12% range against me and goes allin with 6% range, then he is folding 50% of the time.

      But when when he cals I still win 1/3 of the time againsst his 6%.

      But this evening head does not work how to combine these into one equation and calculate what is my EV overall from win and loose.
  • 2 replies
    • Ico0o
      Joined: 28.07.2010 Posts: 4,149
      He is 3-betting vs UTG and it's 4bb open, im pretty sure that this is easy fold. You have enought better hands to defend your open raising range.
      Mby prefer 99 instead of AJo to stackoff here.
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      If he is going on 3-betting you, why would you open 4x AJ from UTG
      Also prefer folding, since you´re running too often AK or maybe even AQ and I doubt he would bluff you after he had 3-bet you before 3 times.