[NL2-NL10] [NL2 FR BSS] Two hands with the ladies (2/2)

    • Elertar
      Joined: 11.08.2011 Posts: 164
      Second hand:

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.02(BB) Replayer
      SB ($2)
      BB ($2.46)
      UTG ($2)
      UTG+1 ($3.92)
      UTG+2 ($2.87)
      MP1 ($1.95)
      MP2 ($2.38)
      CO ($0.63)
      Hero ($2.25)

      Dealt to Hero Q:diamond: Q:club:

      UTG calls $0.02, fold, fold, fold, fold, CO calls $0.02, Hero raises to $0.12, fold, fold, UTG calls $0.10, fold

      FLOP ($0.29) 9:diamond: 5:diamond: 5:spade:

      UTG bets $0.21, Hero calls $0.21

      TURN ($0.71) 9:diamond: 5:diamond: 5:spade: 9:club:

      UTG bets $0.51, Hero calls $0.51

      RIVER ($1.73) 9:diamond: 5:diamond: 5:spade: 9:club: 2:diamond:

      UTG bets $1.16 (AI), Hero calls $1.16

      Hero shows Q:diamond: Q:club:
      (Pre 79%, Flop 87.7%, Turn 4.5%)

      UTG shows T:spade: 9:spade:
      (Pre 21%, Flop 12.3%, Turn 95.5%)

      UTG wins $3.85

      UTG is 36/22/3.1, 36% donk bet and 60% cbet on the turn, over 189 hands.

      I think I should have folded on the turn, despite my opponent looking aggresive. My surprise is that I actually have good equity on the river.

      Equity Win Tie
      UTG 57.14% 57.14% 0.00% QdQc
      UTG+1 42.86% 42.86% 0.00% JJ-99, 55, T9s, 98s, AdJd, AdTd, 8d7d

      What's your opinion? Thank you.
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Elertar,

      Well, the turn is kinda close. But while we could even add some draws into his range and maybe even weaker PPs then I wouldn't really give up directly there.

      Although on river the problem is that we don't really beat many hands which is shipping like that. I'd make a fold and not even a crying fold.

      Best regards.