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[NL2-NL10] NL 4 SH: TP on scary board

    • Meras18
      Meras18
      Bronze
      Joined: 28.09.2008 Posts: 114
      Known players:
      Position:
      Stack
      MP2:
      $2,89
      Hero:
      $4,16

      0,02/0,04 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy.com Elephant 0.102 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is CO with A:club: , K:diamond:
      MP2 calls $0,04, MP3 folds, Hero raises to $0,20, 3 folds, MP2 calls $0,16.

      Flop: ($0,46) K:club: , Q:club: , 7:heart: (2 players)
      MP2 checks, Hero bets $0,32, MP2 raises to $0,76, Hero calls $0,44.

      Turn: ($1,98) 7:club: (2 players)
      MP2 raises $1,93 (All-In), Hero calls $1,93.

      River: ($5,84) J:club: (2 players)


      Final Pot: $5,84

      The 7 :club: can give villain a Flush, FH or Quads. But I don't think he would push any of these hands, he would rather c/r. I think he pushes weak flush draws and Midpairs (QQ). So I decided to call.

      Even if he sometimes have the FH or Quads it's a coin flip and I get 2:1 odds on his push:

      Board: 7:heart: K:club: Q:club:  7:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    44.42%  44.42%   0.00% { QQ, 77, 6c5c, QdJc, QhJc, QsJc, QcJd, QcJh, QcJs, QdTc, QhTc, QsTc, QcTd, QcTh, QcTs }
      MP3    55.58%  55.58%   0.00% { AcKd }


      So the call is fine, isn't it? ;)
  • 2 replies