[NL2-NL10] NL2 FR 77 on the BU

    • clandestineAl
      Joined: 14.06.2010 Posts: 569
      I'm not posting this because it is a set up but because I actually thought about folding this hand. One of them had to have a set and with having bottom set I thought I should fold. Then I thought maybe only had tens and the other was just floating with a small PP. Thoughts?

      Known players:

      0.01/0.02 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy.com Elephant 0.102 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is BU with 7:heart: , 7:diamond:
      UTG2 raises to $0.06, MP1 folds, MP2 calls $0.06, MP3 folds, CO calls $0.06, Hero calls $0.06, SB calls $0.05, BB folds.

      Flop: ($0.32) 9:spade: , 8:diamond: , 7:club: (5 players)
      SB checks, UTG2 bets $0.2, MP2 raises to $0.40, CO calls $0.34 (All-In), Hero raises to $2.01 (All-In), SB folds, UTG2 calls $1.81, MP2 folds.

      Turn: ($5.08) J:spade:
      River: ($5.08) K:spade: (3 players)

      Final Pot: $5.08

      Results follow (highlight to see):
      UTG2 shows three-of-a-kind, nines (9h 9c)
      CO shows a straight, jack high (Ac Th)
      Hero shows (7h 7d)

      CO wins with a straight, jack high (Ac Th)
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello clandestineAl,

      Well the problem is that UTG2 might even overplay his overpair here. :( Also MP2 could be having 2pairs in his range. They don't seem to be that good players either. For example if we put them on such a range:

      Board: 9:spade: 8:diamond: 7:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG+2  15.44%  13.98%   1.46% { 88+ }
      MP2    42.14%  40.68%   1.46% { 88, JTs, T9s, 98s, JTo, T9o, 98o }
      BU     42.42%  41.75%   0.67% { 7d7h }

      You see our equity is still pretty good. But of course mainly was depending on your reads as well how loose do you think they are capable of going broke.

      Best regards.