Hm : Ev $ Diff

    • nathanrenard
      nathanrenard
      Bronze
      Joined: 09.02.2009 Posts: 816
      So i am trying out HM to see if i buy it when HM2 comes out, but i cant understand what is the "EV $ DIFF" column should be.

      Ok this is the hand in question:

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.04(BB) Replayer
      SB ($0.56)
      BB ($2.24)
      Hero ($5.02)
      UTG+1 ($3.37)
      CO ($2.91)
      BTN ($3.09)

      Dealt to Hero Q:club: Q:heart:

      Hero raises to $0.16, UTG+1 calls $0.16, CO calls $0.16, fold, SB calls $0.14, BB calls $0.12

      FLOP ($0.80) 3:diamond: 8:spade: 3:spade:

      SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $0.80, UTG+1 calls $0.80, CO folds, SB folds, BB folds

      TURN ($2.40) 3:diamond: 8:spade: 3:spade: 8:diamond:

      Hero bets $2.48, UTG+1 calls $2.41 (AI)

      RIVER ($7.22) 3:diamond: 8:spade: 3:spade: 8:diamond: 7:diamond:

      Hero shows Q:club: Q:heart:
      (Pre 66%, Flop 56.3%, Turn 72.7%)

      UTG+1 shows A:spade: Q:spade:
      (Pre 34%, Flop 43.7%, Turn 27.3%)

      Hero wins $6.50
      So my report says i won $3.13 but my "EV $ Diff" is -$1.77.
      Ok, i can state the obvious. Though im only wining 72.7% of the time, some of the times i should lose money. But i should lose $1.77 in the long run? Can some one explain me why?

      If i go to calculate $3.13 * 72.7% = $2.27 - So should not my EV $ diff be -$0.85? What am i missing here?
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