[NL20-NL50] FR25 - EQ good enough to call T?

    • chocular77
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,102
      Known players:

      0,15/0,25 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy.com Elephant 0.102 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is CO with A:heart: , J:heart:
      MP2 folds, MP3 raises to $0,60, Hero calls $0,60, 3 folds.

      Flop: ($1,60) J:spade: , T:heart: , 3:spade: (2 players)
      MP3 bets $0,85, Hero raises to $2,40, MP3 calls $1,55.

      Turn: ($6,40) 7:spade: (2 players)
      MP3 checks, Hero bets $3, MP3 raises to $10,78 (All-In), Hero...?

      Final Pot: $12,40

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 67.98% 63.08% 4.90% TT+, AJs, KJs, QJs, AsKs, AsQs, KsQs, AsTs, KsTs, QsTs, JsTs, As9s, Ks9s, Qs9s, Js9s, Ts9s, As8s, Ks8s, Qs8s, As7s, Ks7s, As6s, As5s, As4s, As3s, AJo, KJo, QJo
      MP3 32.02% 27.11% 4.90% AhJh

      The only cards that i'm ahead of are J with weaker kicker. But he maybe wouldn't c/r on T with them so i shouldn't have the equity.
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      prefer b/c turn, since he has there quite wide c/rai range consider he is pot committed once he c/c turn.
      I believe you can easily see any Jx hand, KQ (especially with spade), Tx with spade and if you think he would only continue with better hands you shouldn´t really bet turn yourself, but rather go for pot control and call river bet.