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[NL20-NL50] SHNL25 J4s

    • ragney
      Joined: 02.08.2010 Posts: 2,417
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
      SB ($25)
      BB ($37.17)
      UTG ($45.87)
      CO ($35.69)
      Hero ($25.60)

      Dealt to Hero 4:diamond: J:diamond:

      UTG calls $0.25, fold, Hero raises to $1, fold, BB calls $0.75, UTG calls $0.75

      FLOP ($3.10) J:heart: 8:diamond: 2:spade:

      BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $2.10, BB folds, UTG calls $2.10

      TURN ($7.30) J:heart: 8:diamond: 2:spade: 2:club:

      UTG checks, Hero checks

      RIVER ($7.30) J:heart: 8:diamond: 2:spade: 2:club: Q:diamond:

      UTG bets $6, Hero ???

      Villain fish 58/22. Agg% over 120 hands is 21/16/29. Being 3way and not many draws, can he be bluffing? Are we 33%'ish ahead?

      Oh and don't tell me fold preflop, its not like I always do it. I do it when I'm confident enough it will be a +EV move.
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I wouldn´t raise pf J4s, but if you do then I can´t see how you can fold river your hand. He should have there enough times maybe some random Ax hands+ he may always bet 8x.
      I´d personally would bet my tp hand for value on the turn and then take my free showdown rather than going pot control.