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[NL2-NL10] NL2 - FR - A5s - to call or not to call

    • cpers
      Joined: 17.04.2011 Posts: 566
      iPoker - $0.02 NL - Holdem - 10 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      MP+2: $2.00
      LP: $2.35
      CO: $1.07
      Hero (BTN): $2.38
      SB: $1.17
      BB: $1.04
      UTG: $2.06
      UTG+1: $4.05
      MP: $1.05
      MP+1: $2.00 vp(9)/pfr(9)/af(inf)/3b(0)/wtsd(0)/hand(22)

      SB posts SB $0.01, BB posts BB $0.02, CO posts DB $0.03

      Pre Flop: ($0.06) Hero has A:spade: 5:spade:

      fold, fold, fold, MP+1 raises to $0.10, fold, fold, CO calls $0.08, Hero calls $0.10, fold, fold

      Flop: ($0.34, 3 players) 9:spade: 5:diamond: 2:spade:
      MP+1 bets $0.26, fold, Hero calls $0.26

      Turn: ($0.86, 2 players) 3:heart:
      MP+1 bets $0.64, Hero ???

      Hi veriz,

      PREFLOP: I guess it's a bad play calling 9% range with A5s. I call for flush or straight draw, and plan to fold anything else on the flop.

      FLOP: I got the right pot odds so I call, and I can't see him hit anything other than 9.

      TURN: I'm not sure here. I got nut flush draw + GS + Ace(weak) + set draw(weak). So I got 16 outs - which makes me got the right pot odds to call, but if I exclude the weak draw I only got 11 outs and I don't have the right pot odds. If I calculate the equity against his range 99+,KsQs,KsJs,KsTs,AKo I got 50% and I only need 40% to call. I also have position, so I wonder if it's still ok to call here.

  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello cpers,

      99+,KsQs,KsJs,KsTs,AKo -> I rarely doubt that he ever has such a range of 2nd barreling here. Most likely they are strong made hands only. Even FDs I'd consider him play rather passively.

      Also with the equity there is not much to do for you but rather the question is if he is going to pay you if you hit your GS/FD? He can very easily just go for Check/Fold on river and for that given reason our implied odds wont be successful and in long run we would rather loose money. But of course if you expect to get paid there on river then you can Call with FD+GS and maybe even Ace as clean out.

      Best regards.