[NL2-NL10] mylove190207 - hand evaluations AJs

    • mylove190207
      mylove190207
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.04.2011 Posts: 807
      I raise from UTG1 because of my tight image and table was also very tight. On flop I hit A, but when villain raise me, I shoud fold.

      Known players:
      Position:
      Stack
      Hero:
      $5,78
      MP2:
      $1,59

      0,02/0,05 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy.com Elephant 0.102 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is UTG1 with A:heart: , J:heart:
      Hero raises to $0,20, 2 folds, MP2 calls $0,20, 5 folds.

      Flop: ($0,47) A:spade: , 9:heart: , 6:diamond: (2 players)
      Hero bets $0,33, MP2 raises to $1,00, Hero raises to $3,45, MP2 calls $0,39 (All-In), Hero gets uncalled bet back.

      Turn: ($3,25) K:heart:
      River: ($3,25) T:diamond: (2 players)


      Final Pot: $3,25

      Results follow (highlight to see):
      Hero shows (Ah Jh)
      MP2 shows a pair of aces (Ad Qh)

      MP2 wins with a pair of aces (Ad Qh)
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello mylove190207,

      Well, the tight image doesn't have much to do with the open-raise from UTG. Although I am not saying it's wrong to raise, it's still possible to play it profitable.

      But about the play here is the opponent you are against. As you see the guy is pretty nitty and has been winning all the showdowns. Which makes me doubt that he is shipping with a lot worse hands. If we add his 10 VPIP into the range we see that there ain't gonna be a lot worse Ax hands. We need ~33% equity(includes rake), although against range something like this:

      Board: A:spade: 9:heart: 6:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    65.41%  57.00%   8.41% { 99, 66, A5s+, AJo+ }
      UTG+1  34.59%  26.17%   8.41% { AhJh }

      We ain't getting that great equity. But of course if you expect him even to Call with a lot worse Ax hands then sure your go-broke is satisfied. For example if we expect him to Call with all the AXs hands:

      Board: A:spade: 9:heart: 6:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    58.64%  50.97%   7.68% { 99, 66, A2s+, AJo+ }
      UTG+1  41.36%  33.68%   7.68% { AhJh }

      You see our equity is slightly better.

      Best Regards.