[NL2-NL10] NL5 FR JJ in CO

    • Maartinss
      Joined: 05.10.2010 Posts: 96
      PokerStars - $0.05 NL (9 max) - Holdem - 8 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      UTG: $4.46
      UTG+1: $6.84
      MP: $5.10
      MP+1: $2.22
      Hero (CO): $9.79
      BTN: $0.47
      SB: $3.08
      BB: $5.39

      SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.05

      Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero has J:spade: J:club:

      fold, fold, fold, MP+1 calls $0.05, Hero raises to $0.20, BTN calls $0.20, fold, fold, MP+1 calls $0.15

      Flop: ($0.67, 3 players) 2:spade: 9:spade: T:spade:
      MP+1 checks, Hero bets $0.45, BTN calls $0.27 and is all-in, MP+1 raises to $2.02 and is all-in, Hero calls $1.57

      Turn: ($4.98, 3 players) 4:heart:

      River: ($4.98, 3 players) 4:club:

      MP+1 shows 9:club: 9:diamond:
      BTN shows T:club: T:diamond:
      Hero mucks J:spade: J:club:
      MP+1 wins $3.33
      BTN wins $1.41
  • 4 replies
    • Bierbaer
      Joined: 27.05.2005 Posts: 7,989
      It's a fold vs the all in on the flop.

      We need to call 1.57 for a pot of 4.98, so we need 1.57/4.98=~31.4% equity.

      Given the board is monotone I expect him to have either a set or a flush.
      Vs this range we have less than 25% equity (see below), so it's a fold.

      Board: T:spade: 9:spade: 2:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    23.93%  23.93%   0.00% { JsJc }
      MP3    76.07%  76.07%   0.00% { TT-99, 22, AsKs, AsQs, KsQs, AsJs, 8s7s, 7s6s, As5s, As4s, As3s }
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Maartinss,

      Well, first of all I'd mention that on those limits you can still raise it 5xBB with one limper. :) They are Calling you anyways, there is no big difference.

      About the play, well that's true that we need ~32% equity here. Although I doubt that I am every folding this. Why?
      a) His stack size indicates that he is rather a bad player, most likely loose.
      b) His range can't contain only flush/set type of hands. Why should it be? I mean do you think he is folding all other Tx hands? Never!
      c) Even if he has set then we still have outs for our flush. :)
      d) 3rd guys is pretty much dead money in the pot, we don't count him.

      Conclusion, I am never folding this with my overpair+FD against that kind of stack. If he had a full stack then I would consider that but not in this case. Nice hand, never be result oriented!

      Board: 2:spade: 9:spade: T:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    56.22%  56.22%   0.00% { JsJc }
      UTG+1  43.78%  43.78%   0.00% { TT-99, 22, ATs, KTs, QTs, T9s, AsQs, KsQs, AsJs, QsJs, As9s, Ks9s, Qs9s, As8s, Ks8s, Qs8s, As7s, Ks7s, As6s, As5s, As4s, As3s, ATo, KTo, QTo, T9o, As9c }

      That's my calculation of his range. We could of course add few more flushes or whatsoever but that wont change the case that we still can Call it easily.

      Best Regards.
    • Maartinss
      Joined: 05.10.2010 Posts: 96
      Thx. both of you for evaluate this hand.
    • yeahyoung0312
      Joined: 16.12.2009 Posts: 340
      I agree with Veriz. Even hands with A of spade might find a ch/raise push there.