[NL2-NL10] NL10 SH top set

    • wnbMG
      wnbMG
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.04.2011 Posts: 586
      vs 55/26/2.2
      probably fold on the flop...
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($11.02)
      BB ($16.53)
      UTG ($10.21)
      Hero ($10)
      BTN ($18.61)

      Dealt to Hero Q:spade: Q:heart:

      fold, Hero raises to $0.35, BTN calls $0.35, fold, fold

      FLOP ($0.85) 5:spade: 6:diamond: 7:diamond:

      Hero bets $0.50, BTN raises to $1, Hero calls $0.50

      TURN ($2.85) 5:spade: 6:diamond: 7:diamond: Q:diamond:

      Hero checks, BTN bets $2.85, Hero calls $2.85

      RIVER ($8.55) 5:spade: 6:diamond: 7:diamond: Q:diamond: 8:heart:

      Hero bets $5.80 (AI), BTN calls $5.80

      Hero shows Q:spade: Q:heart:
      (Pre 83%, Flop 3.3%, Turn 22.7%)

      BTN shows 9:heart: 8:club:
      (Pre 17%, Flop 96.7%, Turn 77.3%)

      BTN wins $18.81
  • 3 replies
    • Bierbaer
      Bierbaer
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.05.2005 Posts: 7,989
      Against a 56/22 I'm not folding the flop, I'm reraising for value.
      If you think his range is too strong to reraise you should fold because calling gets you in a lot of tough spots since there are tons of scarecards.

      As played I c/f the turn because we don't get the odds to call for our full house.

      As played on the river it's a c/f as well. The shove doesn't make much sense as his range is superstrong so we don't get anything better to fold and there are almost no worse hands he's calling.
    • wnbMG
      wnbMG
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.04.2011 Posts: 586
      Originally posted by Bierbaer
      Against a 56/22 I'm not folding the flop, I'm reraising for value.
      If you think his range is too strong to reraise you should fold because calling gets you in a lot of tough spots since there are tons of scarecards.

      As played I c/f the turn because we don't get the odds to call for our full house.

      As played on the river it's a c/f as well. The shove doesn't make much sense as his range is superstrong so we don't get anything better to fold and there are almost no worse hands he's calling.
      It's hard because he (almost) never reraising with pair+draw or bluffs.
      He can have also 2 pair which calling shove on river I think.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello wnbMG,

      Well, I'd just Bet/Fold it right on flop. There ain't gonna be any card which are going to improve our hand a lot. Only with some runner-runners. While it will be as well hard for us to Check/Call it. His range is also pretty strong and our equity against his raise is most likely going to be pretty weak if you don't expect him to raise with draws:

      Board: 5:spade: 6:diamond: 7:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    77.62%  76.06%   1.56% { 88-55, 98s, 87s, 76s, 65s, 43s, 98o, 87o, 76o, 65o, 43o }
      UTG+1  22.38%  20.82%   1.56% { QhQs }

      Best Regards.