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[NL2-NL10] AA vs nitish player donks

    • Janosikgdy
      Joined: 06.05.2007 Posts: 4,480
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.04(BB) Replayer
      SB ($4.14)
      BB ($5.49)
      UTG ($5.14)
      Hero ($4)
      CO ($4.88)
      BTN ($7.31)

      Dealt to Hero A:spade: A:club:

      fold, Hero raises to $0.16, fold, fold, SB calls $0.14, fold

      FLOP ($0.36) K:heart: 4:club: 2:heart:

      SB bets $0.18, Hero calls $0.18

      TURN ($0.72) K:heart: 4:club: 2:heart: 2:club:

      [color=red]SB bets $0.36, Hero raises to $1, SB raises to $3.80 (AI), Hero calls $2.66

      V 20/12/af 1.5/3bet 1 hads90

      I put his range on sets, and due to small 3bet to AK. Sometimes Rarly KQ and maybe fd, but not always.

      Flop I decided to call, I don't want to stack of, against nitish player.

      Turn: 2 decrease probablity of sets so I decided to raise/broke.
      After 2 hit on turn I think that against above range I am ahead.

      Board: Kh 4c 2h 2c

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 58.636% 58.64% 00.00% 258 0.00 { AcAd }
      Hand 1: 41.364% 41.36% 00.00% 182 0.00 { 44, 22, AKs, AKo }

      And this is his stronger range without KQ and draws.

      Does my thought process is ok?
  • 2 replies
    • Tomaloc
      Joined: 17.01.2011 Posts: 7,015
      i think KK is in his range, it's possible that he didn't 3bet for fear of missing action.

      anyway the question really is, is he capable of stacking off his AK TPTK? that's the only hand that you actually beat, and then it all comes down to your reads.
      if he stacks off with AK you can make a okay call, if he doesn't you're far far behind.
      i'd rather call turn and probably call any river vs unknown unless he bets very strongly
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Janosikgdy,

      On flop our raise is kinda close, the problem is that if we do raise then we practically will have hard time going broke while that kind of guy may easily even have sets in his range. Also if he is a nit then he most likely he will have hard time Calling even with Kx here.

      Although as we do hit a very good card on turn which makes him less likely even to have set of deuces I don't mind raising there. His line also seems to be kinda towards blocking line. Might even do that with draw/Kx hands. Also most likely his range may easily even consist of KQ hands as well. Raise it and protect your hand. Although I'd raise it bigger ~$1,60.

      Best Regards.