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Do I Call Here?

    • thegreengobli
      Joined: 11.07.2011 Posts: 4
      Poker Stars $1.00+$0.25+$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t400/t800 Blinds + t75 - 9 players -
      The Hand History Converter

      Hero (BB): t20200 M = 10.77
      UTG: t29980 M = 15.99
      UTG+1: t18821 M = 10.04
      UTG+2: t7650 M = 4.08
      MP1: t2925 M = 1.56
      MP2: t12100 M = 6.45
      CO: t9865 M = 5.26
      BTN: t39043 M = 20.82
      SB: t27445 M = 14.64

      Pre Flop: (t1875) Hero is BB with 9s 9h
      3 folds, MP1 raises to t2850 all in, MP2 raises to t12025 all in,

      Id this a call? Views appreciated.


  • 5 replies
    • sabo999
      Joined: 11.06.2008 Posts: 502
      Your only getting around 1.5/1 I think on a call, and with 2All In's, i'm pretty confident that 9's are a fold.

      At best your going to be up against an under pair and two over cards where your around 40% chance to win the pot. However, I think its more likely that you'll be up against either 4 over cards or 2 overs and an over pair. In those spots your around 30% and 15% respectively which mean you aren't getting the right price on a call in those spots.

      I'd fold it and pick a better spot.

      Sabo :club:

      FWIW; I've had a bit of a break from poker, and I'm just using these hand evaluations as a way of sharpening up my game again :) So feel free to criticize my logic/my maths (if may be off)
    • Agiz19
      Joined: 19.03.2007 Posts: 1,126
      99 - raise reraise , u fold 99 are marginal and how they played it they prob has better PPs or top overcards, and you are still flipping vs 2 opponents if you call...I fold it to
    • m1lk0n
      Joined: 30.10.2011 Posts: 103
      This is a snapcall!
    • Skraggy
      Joined: 21.09.2008 Posts: 197
      To me MP2 looks to be reraising to isolate and often his hand will reflect this. Most of the time if he had a monster (AA KK QQ) I think he could certainly flat to get another player to come along. Of course he could also shove with a monster to protect his hand and lose value.

      It would depend on what stats you have on him, but I'm thinking he has overcard like AK, AQ or a pair like 10 10 or JJ

      edit : does not matter what was shown down, so I removed the question :>
    • AaronLambert
      Joined: 05.05.2010 Posts: 446
      Without reads here is my take on this situation.

      One lets focus on our stacksize. We have a little over 20k and if we call and were to lose we would have 8K left which is 10bbs and is an easy stack to play. If you call and win you are going to have 32k which is an easy stack to play so you get out of the dreaded stack position you are currently in around 20+bbs (I hate this stack size personally)

      Two our opponent isolates on a short stack which leads me to believe he could be isoing rather wide in this position and with hands that 99 plays very well against. I don't think he would be making this type of raise with JJ+ so his range will tend to be AJs+ AQo+ 66-TT so I think this makes it an obvious call.

      If your stack would become super small and you lose fold equity you could potentially consider folding but either way I personally call here regardless of my stack unless I have reason to believe the guy isoing is doing it with JJ or QQ (he'll never have AA or KK here imo)

      hope that helps