[NL2-NL10] NL4 SH - Mid-pair + OESD faces raise on flop.

    • Salivanth
      Joined: 01.01.2011 Posts: 587
      No-Limit Hold'em, $0.04 BB (5 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

      Hero (Button) ($4.20)
      BB ($4) (20/16/4.6/19/357) (VPIP/PFR/AF/WTSD/Hands) Check-raised on flop 2 times out of 12. Folded to c-bet 4 times out of 9.
      MP ($4.91)
      UTG ($4.20)
      SB ($3.96)

      Preflop: Hero is Button with 10, Q
      2 folds, Hero bets $0.12, 1 fold, BB calls $0.08

      Flop: ($0.26) Q, K, J (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.17, BB raises $0.57, Hero ???

      What should I do here?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Salivanth,

      Well, the problem here is that he is rather going to have some strong hand. Doubt that he is Check/Raising just pure air here. Obviously we could put also FDs in his Check/Raise range but would he really do on such a board which hardly also hits our raising range? Doubt that. For the given reason we at the best can consider playing for the implied odds:

      Board: K:spade: Q:diamond: J:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    72.62%  67.74%   4.88% { JJ, AKs, ATs, KJs+, QJs, T9s, AKo, ATo, KJo+, QJo, T9o }
      UTG+1  27.38%  22.50%   4.88% { QsTs }

      Although even for the implied odds it's kinda problematic since we can't be sure which outs are clean and which not. Any 9 couldn't be an out, any Ace comes then he might not pay us much. So for that reason I might even consider making a crying fold here if I consider him not paying us.

      Best Regards.