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[NL2-NL10] Nl10 Sh Aa

    • Sinnology
      Sinnology
      Global
      Joined: 10.08.2009 Posts: 994
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($10.32)
      BB ($4.94)
      UTG ($13.29)
      UTG+1 ($10.20)
      CO ($10)
      Hero ($11.34)

      Dealt to Hero A:spade: A:heart:

      fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.35, fold, Hero raises to $0.90, fold, fold, UTG+1 calls $0.55

      FLOP ($1.95) T:diamond: 3:diamond: K:spade:

      UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $1.46, UTG+1 raises to $4.74, Hero raises to $10.44 (AI), UTG+1 calls $4.56 (AI)

      If I called him on flop I would be commited ,so its basicly push or fold.
      Hes range here is TT,KX,33.
      The question hereis, can I fold this on flop ???
  • 2 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Sinnology,

      Without you mentioning his VPIP/PFR or overall playstyle it's hard to say either you can easily fold the hand or not. Against some unknown we can also count AK/KQ maybe be in his calling range. So going for stacks shouldn't be a problem.

      Best Regards.
    • Meemawuk
      Meemawuk
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.05.2009 Posts: 758
      Why are you 3-betting so small? Also, do we really think he's raising the flop with KQ/KJ in a 3-bet pot here?

      If we include KQ and KJ in his range:


      Board: T:diamond: 3:diamond: K:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    62.14%  62.03%   0.11% { AhAs }
      UTG+1  37.86%  37.75%   0.11% { KK, TT, 33, AKs, KJs+, AKo, KJo+ }


      I honestly think his range is more like:


      Board: T:diamond: 3:diamond: K:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    39.35%  39.06%   0.29% { AhAs }
      UTG+1  60.65%  60.36%   0.29% { KK, TT, 33, AKs, AKo }


      Need stats I suppose. I just seem to find more nitty players I think