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[NL2-NL10] NL10 SH AA x2

    • Sinnology
      Sinnology
      Global
      Joined: 10.08.2009 Posts: 994
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($8.04)
      BB ($9.69)
      Hero ($10.25)
      CO ($9.95)
      BTN ($4.47)

      Dealt to Hero A:club: A:heart:

      Hero raises to $0.40, fold, fold, SB calls $0.35, fold

      FLOP ($0.90) 7:diamond: Q:spade: K:spade:

      SB checks, Hero bets $0.90, SB calls $0.90

      TURN ($2.70) 7:diamond: Q:spade: K:spade: 4:heart:

      SB checks, Hero bets $2.70, SB calls $2.70

      RIVER ($8.10) 7:diamond: Q:spade: K:spade: 4:heart: 9:diamond:

      SB bets $4.04 (AI), Hero calls $4.04

      Can I ever fold this on river?
      my odds are 3:1 so I need like 25% equity. and against hes push range here KJ,KQ,AK,JTs, hes still major dog.
  • 3 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Sinnology,

      I don't like that much to make it exactly pot size bets on flop & turn. You just saying that you have a very strong hand and at the same time just commit yourself. Which even happened on river.

      I'd really be inclined to fold the river since I don't really see what we beat there after our line as we did bet pot size on every street. He is not shipping there with just Kx.

      Best Regards.
    • dannywratten
      dannywratten
      Bronze
      Joined: 11.05.2010 Posts: 1,462
      In my experience, although limited, when the fish check/calls 2 streets then donk shoves river, hes got the goods. Almost never a bluff or TP type hand IMO
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by dannywratten
      In my experience, although limited, when the fish check/calls 2 streets then donk shoves river, hes got the goods. Almost never a bluff or TP type hand IMO
      Yep, most of the time. :)