[NL20-NL50] NL 20 SH - FD + gutshot vs turn checkraise

    • hansbans
      Joined: 21.02.2010 Posts: 79
      Ongame Network $20.00 No Limit Hold'em - 3 players - View hand 1477871
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      SB: $48.03 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 12, 3B: 6, AF: 3.5, Hands: 408
      Hero (BB): $30.54 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 18, 3B: 6, AF: 2.1, Hands: 25993
      BTN: $20.06 - VPIP: 58, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0.8, Hands: 31

      Pre Flop: ($0.30) Hero is BB with 9 :spade: K :spade:
      BTN calls $0.20, SB calls $0.10, Hero raises to $0.90, 1 fold, SB calls $0.70

      Flop: ($2.00) 7 :spade: J :spade: 3 :diamond: (2 players)
      SB bets $2.00, Hero calls $2

      Turn: ($6.00) T :diamond: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $4.00, SB raises to $12, Hero raises to $27.64, SB folds

      I found his line a little weird, don't really know what hands I can put him on. Either AJ or flushdraw is my best guess. Any set or straight would most likely lead out on the turn here? Is my push good?
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I doubt that AJ would c/r turn, so it should be either two pair, set, straight, draws or bluffs.

      Any set or straight would most likely lead out on the turn here?
      - some players might lead turn, but I think more likely they would go c/r on the turn to let you barrel with draws and valuebet top pair+ hands

      Is my push good?
      - seems like he shouldn´t c/r and then folding, but since he did then I like it. Then he can turn sometimes made hands into bluffs and fold to shove, that might easily be ahead of K high and also you can´t call him down with K high if he shoves river. You should have at least 25%+ equity against his made hands+ if you add sometimes having fold equity, shove becomes profitable move.