[NL20-NL50] SH 50NL overpair facing donk bets

    • gonepoker
      gonepoker
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.05.2009 Posts: 438
      IPoker Network $50.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1478477
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      MP: $52.25 - VPIP: 26, PFR: 21, 3B: 7, AF: 0.9, Hands: 197
      CO: $50.00 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 14, 3B: 7, AF: 2.3, Hands: 180
      Hero (BTN): $52.29 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 19, 3B: 6, AF: 3.1, Hands: 28396
      SB: $50.00 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 15, 3B: 2, AF: 1.7, Hands: 152
      BB: $89.18 - VPIP: 31, PFR: 26, 3B: 11, AF: 2.0, Hands: 133
      UTG: $58.95 - VPIP: 44, PFR: 19, 3B: 6, Donk bet 53% (19), WWSF 50%, AF: 3, Hands: 164

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is BTN with A :heart: A :spade:
      UTG calls $0.50, 2 folds, Hero raises to $2.50, 2 folds, UTG calls $2

      Flop: ($5.75) 7 :heart: 2 :spade: 4 :spade: (2 players)
      UTG bets $4.31, Hero calls $4.31

      Turn: ($14.37) 8 :spade: (2 players)
      UTG bets $7.18, Hero calls $7.18

      River: ($28.73) J :heart: (2 players)
      UTG bets $21.54, Hero calls $21.54

      Usually I raise flop but he has high donk bet % so I called. When he lowered his proportion of betsize on the turn I called again, because I perceived it as weak bet and didnt want to make him fold weak hands.
      When he makes it quite big on the river I guess its still a call? He might bluff, vbet a Jx or even something weaker.
  • 1 reply
    • Bierbaer
      Bierbaer
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.05.2005 Posts: 7,989
      Nh!
      Especially vs an aggro guy like him I think EV(call_flop)>>>EV(raise_flop) unless he's 3betbluffing, which, from my experience, most people don't do - they just fold to the raise.

      And I'm definitely calling down. On the turn it's tough to raise for value as the flush gets there and he's probably scared if we raise but he might even bluff a fourth spade.

      On the river we're ahead against most of his range so a call is mandatory (again I think we can't raise for value as he's not going to call enough worse hands, but I'm definitely considering it).