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[NL2-NL10] NL10 SH KTs

    • Parazitull
      Joined: 27.08.2010 Posts: 10
      Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1485790
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      UTG: $11.74 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 18, 3B: 7, AF: 2.2, Hands: 177
      MP: $17.81 - VPIP: 43, PFR: 27, 3B: 21, AF: 7.5, Hands: 275
      Hero (CO): $10.00 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 14, 3B: 3, AF: 3.6, Hands: 152605
      BTN: $11.05 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 16, 3B: 14, AF: 5.0, Hands: 63
      SB: $10.37 - VPIP: 14, PFR: 11, 3B: 7, AF: 4.5, Hands: 101
      BB: $5.36 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 9, 3B: 0, AF: Infinity, Hands: 32

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is CO with T :club: K :club:
      1 fold, MP raises to $0.30, Hero raises to $0.90, 3 folds, MP calls $0.60

      Flop: ($1.95) T :spade: 5 :club: A :diamond: (2 players)
      MP bets $0.80, Hero calls $0.80

      Turn: ($3.55) J :diamond: (2 players)
      MP bets $1.00, Hero calls $1

      River: ($5.55) T :heart: (2 players)
      MP bets $7.93, Hero calls $7.30 all in

      MP: donks 64%, he has turn AF: 4.3, afq: 42, and river AF: 2.3, afq: 30%

      Should I fold on turn?
  • 3 replies
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343

      Getting 4.5:1 pot odds on the turn I think I´d still call on the turn. He might blockbet himself smt like QT and if you´re behind then you might still have 10 outs against A9

      Also I´d call river, since he can shove there for value worse Tx hands or bluffs.
    • GunnarPB
      Joined: 30.03.2011 Posts: 28
      it's k to call turn as he was giving you 4,5:1 pot odds and you had 10 outs to draw at least a two pair as villain is quite agressive he could be betting pretty wide so it seems profitable to call
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Parazitull,

      Preflop: Why do you 3bet here in 1st place? I don't like it at all. You are just isolating yourself against better hands, a lot of better Tx hands/Kx hands are possible. And do you really want to play in bigger pot here with just some weak pair maybe and with you are going broke then and can't even be sure how ya doing. I'd most likely rather just Call and play it postflop while even having the position.

      As played
      Turn: Well, I am actually not a huge fan of Calling here. I mean what outs do you count as clean outs? You will never know, when a K comes you might be against straight, when a Q comes you might just split, when a T comes he could easily be trapping you. So you wont even know what are the clean outs here. Just fold it.

      As played
      River: Exactly this even happens, T falls and the guy decides to shove. As Kaitz20 said that he may have bluffs here I would disagree he has most likely never bluffs here. If he wanted to bluff then why didn't he do just normal bet sizes on flop & turn. Most likely was just inducing you to come along or trap you with inducing you to raise. For that given part it's really hard to be far-far ahead on river. While his shoving range is going to contain mostly of strong made hands. We would need here ~37% equity with rake included and against a range of:

      Board: T:spade: 5:club: A:diamond:  J:diamond:  T:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    25.00%  21.05%   3.95% { KcTc }
      UTG+1  75.00%  71.05%   3.95% { AA, JJ, 55, ATs, KQs, KTs, QTs, JTs, T9s, ATo, KQo, KTo, QTo, JTo, T9o }

      You see we even ain't getting it. Which makes me to be towards Folding the hand without really knowing more about the opponent.

      Best Regards.