[NL2-NL10] nl2 - 99 - MP - flop 456s

    • brooksjohn
      brooksjohn
      Bronze
      Joined: 23.08.2010 Posts: 144
      Do I call the flop raise, fold or re-raise?

      iPoker - $0.02 NL - Holdem - 8 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      Hero (MP+1): $1.89
      CO: $2.02
      BTN: $2.00
      SB: $1.11
      BB: $1.00
      UTG: $1.30
      UTG+1: $2.96
      MP: $1.10

      SB posts SB $0.01, BB posts BB $0.02

      Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero has 9:club: 9:diamond:

      fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.08, CO calls $0.08, fold, fold, fold

      Flop: ($0.19, 2 players) 4:spade: 5:spade: 6:spade:
      Hero bets $0.14, CO raises to $0.61, Hero?......

      Over 22 hands villain has stats of VP: 27/ PR: 5 / AttemptoSteal: 0.

      Preflop equity:


             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP3    62.24%  61.93%   0.31% { 99 }
      CO     37.76%  37.45%   0.31% { 77-55, ATs-A2s, KJs-K5s, Q8s+, J8s+, T8s+, 98s, AQo-A7o, K9o+, Q9o+, JTo }


      Post flop equity is actually slightly better:


      Board: 6:spade: 5:spade: 4:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP3    63.32%  61.64%   1.68% { 99 }
      CO     36.68%  35.00%   1.68% { 77-55, ATs-A2s, KJs-K5s, Q8s+, J8s+, T8s+, 98s, AQo-A7o, K9o+, Q9o+, JTo }
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello brooksjohn,

      I would rather put the opposite into the equilab, which most likely doesn't even give us the equity:

      Board: 4:spade: 5:spade: 6:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    74.59%  72.17%   2.42% { 77-44, 98s, 87s, 65s, 54s, KsQs, QsJs, Ts9s, 98o, 87o, 65o, 54o, As6h }
      UTG+1  25.41%  23.00%   2.42% { 9d9c }

      And tells me rather to just Bet/Fold it right on flop. :)

      Best Regards.