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[NL2-NL10] Trips on drawy board

    • Wacko118
      Joined: 21.06.2009 Posts: 300
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) IPoker
      SB ($6.03)
      BB ($20.44)
      UTG ($10.04)
      Hero ($10)
      CO ($9.85)
      BTN ($10)

      Dealt to Hero Q:club: K:club:

      fold, Hero raises to $0.30, CO calls $0.30, BTN calls $0.30, fold, BB calls $0.20

      FLOP ($1.25) Q:heart: Q:diamond: 4:diamond:

      BB checks, Hero bets $0.70, CO calls $0.70, BTN calls $0.70, BB folds

      TURN ($3.35) Q:heart: Q:diamond: 4:diamond: J:spade:

      Hero bets $2.30, CO calls $2.30, BTN folds

      RIVER ($7.95) Q:heart: Q:diamond: 4:diamond: J:spade: 2:diamond:

      Hero checks, CO bets $4.60, Hero calls $4.60

      opponent is a tag, but i just dont know if i can fold. Thinking about it later though the only hand that i beat logically is air or a Q as i dont think he has AQ very often but lower Q is possible.
  • 3 replies
    • muel294
      Joined: 06.06.2009 Posts: 1,225
      wow sucks pretty bad. tbh I cannot see someone on NL10 doing this as a bluff (like floating two streets and bluffing the river) and JX, weaker pairs or KK/AA (these are probably just 3betting pre as well, maybe AQ) are probably just checking behind on the river.

      So its a crying fold I think because unless you think your opponent is capable of floating two streets or value betting JX or something, then he probably has AQ, a flush 44/JJ.

      what did villain have out of interest?
    • Wacko118
      Joined: 21.06.2009 Posts: 300
      Pocket JJ.......

      i have run 8BI below EV last 3k hands i have seen some crazy stuff beat me.

      flush i feel is very unlikely, opponent is a tag and i dont think he is ever calling that turn with flush draw.

      Im just hoping that he has Q10 or QJ here often enough for me to be able to call..
      JJ should really really 3 bet pre and 44s seem so unlikely but must be what he would have or air.
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Wacko118,

      Well, the problem on river is that even a draw completed. I don't really see what hands he would turn into bluff. Do you really think that he would even bet any weaker pair there?

      The only option would be to bet ourselves as blocker to gain value from worse PPs/pairs rather than Check/Call it. If I'd Check on such a board then I'd be towards Check/Folding, what did miss there on river? You might beat something like QT and that's the only thing. Doubt that there are going to be a lot worse Qx in his range unless he is a station.

      Best Regards.