
17.03.2008, 12:47

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This post has been edited 2 time(s), it was last edited by xylere: 17.03.2008 12:51.
well, you have to know how many Ax hands your opponent limp/call from UTG. If you know the range, then its easy.
assume the range is 7744,ATsA8s,ATo
24 pp hands and 24 Ax hands, but 13 of them are not possible, due to the deadcardz.
If he plays every hand from his range the same way, 35% of the time he will hold an Ace and 65% a pocket pair)
So we want Q, K, 9 . That`s 9 clean outs ~ 36%.
I don`t think any additional calculations needed)
everything depends on his range. If his range is mainly consist of PP and Ax hands, then given two aces on the flop
every PP adds 6 possible hands
every Axo hand adds 6 possible hands (except A5)
every Axs hand adds 2 possible hands (except A5s)
Therefore, even with a looser limp/call range from UTG (more Ax hands) this spot seems profitable.