[NL20-NL50] River decision vs nit

    • cubinis
      Joined: 08.01.2009 Posts: 73
      Villain is 16/5/0 over 40 hands with AF 1. no reads

      Cassava Poker $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players -

      SB: $24.22
      BB: $36.64
      Hero (UTG): $28.80
      MP: $46.55
      CO: $22.62
      BTN: $20.17

      Pre Flop: ($0.30) Hero is UTG with K :heart: K :diamond:
      Hero raises to $0.70, 2 folds, BTN calls $0.70, 2 folds

      Flop: ($1.70) 4 :heart: 4 :diamond: Q :spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.07, BTN calls $1.07

      Turn: ($3.84) T :heart: (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.32, BTN calls $2.32

      River: ($8.48) A :club: (2 players)
      Hero bets $4.44, BTN raises to $16.08, Hero folds

      F and T is standard i guess. Now on river im not sure whats the best play. I bet 1/2 pot to get value from something like Q, then he raises he reps very narrow range TT, QQ maybe AQ. I would be more happy about my fold if i had more hands on him. Is there any other option on r than b/f? What about betsize?
  • 2 replies
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343

      A is usually good card to bluff or bet for value, but here it sucks, since:
      - he either has AQ and has you beat or
      - he has KQ and would fold to your river bet.

      So I think we can´t really bet more than half pot on the river, although I´d likely would make there even 1/4 bet. That might always induce smt or get light calldowns

      Hard to see if he would bet any worse hands if we check to him and he can´t really have any draws, so c/f river to big bet would be better than c/f

      As played I think you have to fold since 16/5 would almost never bluffraise and especially that spot
    • Maniatrix
      Joined: 01.11.2008 Posts: 674
      Check/fold river vs slowplayed boat.