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[NL20-NL50] NL50, air vs nit

    • chenny8888
      Joined: 03.10.2007 Posts: 19,324
      PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

      saw flop|saw showdown

      MP ($50)
      CO ($49.25)
      Button ($83.25)
      SB ($52.75)
      BB ($69.95)
      Hero ($56.95)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with Q, A.
      Hero raises to $2, 1 fold, CO calls $2, 2 folds, BB calls $1.50.

      Flop: ($6.25) 7, 2, J (3 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $4.2, CO calls $4.20, BB folds.

      Turn: ($14.65) 9 (2 players)
      Hero bets $8.5, CO calls $8.50.

      River: ($31.65) 4 (2 players)
      Hero bets $16, CO calls $16.

      Final Pot: $63.65

      Results in white below:
      Hero has Qc Ad (high card, ace).
      CO has Qs Qh (one pair, queens).
      Outcome: CO wins $63.65.

      +EV all 3 streets? villain's stats:

      btw he used his whole timebank on the river.
  • 4 replies
    • SonicXT
      Joined: 15.06.2007 Posts: 4,736
      First is ok.
      Second barrel is a little bit small (protection) and I'm not really sure I'd have have fired it here, but it's possible.
      Wouldn't have fired a third one for sure though, mainly because of his preflop tightness and because the original flop wasn't drawheavy so it's unlikely he's on a missed draw.

      Plz don't post results though :)
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I would c/f turn
    • aciddrop
      Joined: 08.10.2006 Posts: 1,519
      This guy is obviously very cautious. Some telling stats I think are that not only does he play very few hands, he takes just one quarter of those to a showdown, but he wins 75% of those.

      If this guy wants to go all the way, you will see something at the showdown. He is passive enough to check behind the river with the best hand as well.
    • Thorsten77
      Joined: 28.05.2006 Posts: 12,896
      Don't like firing 2 barrels on this board. He may have hit it and you cant represent too much.