[NL2-NL10] KQo - CO - Equity question

    • brooksjohn
      Joined: 23.08.2010 Posts: 144
      I folded to vilains bet on the flop here when I probably shouldn't have called the preflop raise. When reviewing the hand I calculate that I need 25.87% equity to call the c-bet and against villains range my equity is as follows so should I have called?

      Board: 8:diamond: A:spade: K:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    52.62%  48.81%   3.81% { 77+, A9s+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, ATo+, KJo+ }
      UTG+1  47.38%  43.57%   3.81% { KcQh }

      iPoker - $0.02 NL - Holdem - 9 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      BB: $2.00
      UTG: $5.30 (VP:12 / PFR:12 / ATS:20 / Hands:42)
      UTG+1: $2.44
      MP: $1.58
      MP+1: $7.19
      LP: $0.91
      Hero (CO): $2.49
      BTN: $3.41
      SB: $1.24

      SB posts SB $0.01, BB posts BB $0.02

      Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero has K:club: Q:heart:

      UTG raises to $0.08, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.08, BTN calls $0.08, fold, fold

      Flop: ($0.27, 3 players) K:spade: 8:diamond: A:spade:
      UTG bets $0.18, fold, fold

      UTG wins $0.26
  • 3 replies
    • Meemawuk
      Joined: 27.05.2009 Posts: 758
      Is his UTG pfr still 12? you might find his range is narrower. Also is he c-betting 100% of PFR range on the flop? This seems unlikely. If you remove 77, 99-QQ (hands which he will often decide to not c-bet) you're in much worse shape.
    • Echoes88
      Joined: 27.09.2008 Posts: 1,665

      42 hands are far from a reliable samplesize. Unless he seemed maniac, I don't think he would raise that wide from UTG.

      As you mentioned, pre fold.
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello brooksjohn,

      Preflop: Well, most likely I'd just talk about preflop play, since with the Call you can't really expect to hit much, while your hand will be very often dominated. I'd rather just fold it preflop.

      As played
      Postflop: Seems to be pretty standard, I doubt that the guy is CBetting into us even with a lot worse.

      Best Regards.