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[NL20-NL50] NL25 SH - TPTK in 3B pot

    • chocular77
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,102
      Known players:

      0,15/0,25 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant 0.102 by

      Villain is solid, F3B = 71%, never saw him 4B

      Preflop: Hero is CO with A:spade: , K:diamond:
      MP2 raises to $0,90, MP3 folds, Hero raises to $3,00, BU folds, SB calls $2,85, BB folds, MP2 calls $2,10.

      His range UTG is already strong and he calls my 3B. His range should look like this: JJ,QQ,AK (maybe TT and AQ)

      Flop: ($9,25) A:heart: , Q:heart: , 3:spade: (3 players)
      SB checks, MP2 checks, Hero bets $6, SB folds, MP2 raises to $20,20 (All-In), Hero calls $14,20.

      Turn: ($49,65) 8:heart:
      River: ($49,65) 9:heart: (2 players)

      Final Pot: $49,65

      He could only c/r AQ,AK,QQ
      I need 28,6% equity and i don't get it against this range:

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 73.94% 54.14% 19.80% QQ, AQs+, AQo+
      MP3 26.06% 6.26% 19.80% AsKd

      So its a clear fold?
  • 3 replies
    • Platinumfrown
      Joined: 26.06.2011 Posts: 26
      I seriously doubt that's his range.
    • chocular77
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,102
      Would be nice to know what you think his range is.

      He raises from UTG and calls my 3B (folded from utg to every 3B bevor (3x)) and he folds alot to 3B's. He would obv. 4B AA,KK, but maybe he has some more pairs in there but thats it.

      From what i have seen this guy plays no draws aggressive (he doesn't really have draws in his range at all).

      c/r the flop i don't think he got something like JJ-99 or 33.... so what else can it be then AQ,AK,QQ?
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Since there are fish on the pot and he gets good odds I think you also need to give him AJ, KQ and maybe also QJs, ATs, KJs
      Since your image is very aggressive he can likely also c/rai with any tp hand to protect against draws and I think if he called smt like 89h he would also c/rai there+ he can always have KJh, JTh. You can always b/f weaker Ax hands, but with AK I would prefer b/c