The swordsman takes a swing at Gold

    • VorpalF2F
      VorpalF2F
      Super Moderator
      Super Moderator
      Joined: 02.09.2010 Posts: 8,915
      Almost left the "L" out of my subject line, but a booming voice made me put it in.

      I had been planning for a while to take a run at gold during November.
      I had it all figured. I had it down to how many days I would play, and how many $1 SnGs at Party I would need each day.

      Daunting task, that. I would have needed >20 per day. Even 4-tabling that is nearly 3 hours of poker a night, when I'm already tired from work.

      Then along comes PokerStrategy to the rescue! I'll bet most of you didn't even notice the white horse and galloping sound as November came in.

      So now, besides Gold Status, I can do it w/ only 400 pts, and get $20 thrown in for good measure. My lucky day (or month).

      Still a lot of poker though, so I thought to myself, "Self, how can we cut the work down?" I was looking off to the east very early one morning -- then it dawned on me. I can do it w/ double-or-nothings I had played a few of these, when I first discovered them, and broke about even, and they utilise my greatest skill -- staying out of trouble.

      So, I'm going to go for gold playing nothing all month except $11 DoN SnGs at Party. Each set of 3 is 6 PartyPoker Points, or $3 rake, which is 10.5 PokerStrategy Points. Oh all right, I will play some 5-Card draw at Stars, but that ain't tracked, and so it's just for fun.

      So starting a couple of days ago, I watched about 20 $11 DoN SnGs (from now on, these will be DoGs) to see how people played, what they played and so on. HOLY CRAP are these guys TIGHT or what?

      Some players were at 6 (or more) tables simultaneously -- these were the tightest, but most were still in at the end, so 6 x 9 is $54 / hr. Nice pay rate.
      I'm not likely to be that good.

      Results to follow...
  • 33 replies
    • VorpalF2F
      VorpalF2F
      Super Moderator
      Super Moderator
      Joined: 02.09.2010 Posts: 8,915
      OK, I should mention BRM.
      This will be the fly that could mess up the ointment.
      Going in to November, I have just under 30 Buy-ins for the intended $11 DoGs.

      I have enough in my Poker bank account to make Gold even if I lose all 60. If I do lose all 60, I have effective "bought" Gold status for 1 month, when I could purchase it for 3 months for $249. I may not necessarily have a winning month, but I'm unlikely to lose them all.

      So...
      If you can purchase Gold status for $249 for 3 months, then it is $83 / month.
      So if over the course of my swing at gold, I lose less than $103 I'm ahead.

      And the moment you've all (well, no-one actually, 'cuz I just posted this) been waiting for...

      I won all three attempts today. I had intended on being hyper tight, but I kept getting playable cards, and ended up looking like a total lagtard. On one table after 30-odd hands I was 38/38 with an AF of 6.0 Wow -- I never play like that. But they kept folding, what was I to do?

      Only one really noteworthy hand.
      I'm in the BB on only the 23rd hand of the tournament, facing a single limper.

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $200(BB) Replayer
      SB ($2,670)
      Hero ($4,990)
      UTG ($1,750)
      UTG+1 ($2,180)
      UTG+2 ($3,730)
      CO ($3,200)
      BTN ($1,480)

      Dealt to Hero 3:spade: 2:club:

      UTG calls $200, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero checks

      FLOP ($500) K:heart: 2:spade: 2:diamond:

      Hero checks, UTG checks

      TURN ($500) K:heart: 2:spade: 2:diamond: 4:club:

      Hero bets $200, UTG calls $200

      RIVER ($900) K:heart: 2:spade: 2:diamond: 4:club: T:diamond:

      Hero bets $1,400, UTG calls $1,350 (AI)

      Hero shows 3:spade: 2:club:
      (Pre 12%, Flop 91.1%, Turn 95.5%)

      UTG shows A:spade: A:heart:
      (Pre 88%, Flop 8.9%, Turn 4.5%)

      Hero wins $3,600

      This guy is usually winning player -- he was one of the ones I watched, and I was actually pretty sure he had AK, or worse, KK, I thought he would fold AK since I had seem him make big folds before, and would have been quite happy to pay his KK.

      So: Moral of the story? Never slow play AA.
    • IngridN
      IngridN
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.03.2011 Posts: 12,162
      Hey VorpalF2F,

      Glad to see you in our blog section and wish you best of luck running for the Gold coat!

      Ingrid
    • VorpalF2F
      VorpalF2F
      Super Moderator
      Super Moderator
      Joined: 02.09.2010 Posts: 8,915
      Much harder today.
      Still, two out of three.

      So, the results so far:
      2 Days.
      6 $11 DoGs (DoN SnGs)*
      5 Wins
      21 PS points

      Game 2 was the loss. Busted out on this hand:
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $60(BB) Replayer
      SB ($3,360)
      BB ($1,960)
      UTG ($2,910)
      UTG+1 ($1,940)
      UTG+2 ($1,940)
      MP1 ($2,770)
      MP2 ($1,620)
      CO ($1,590)
      Hero ($1,910)

      Dealt to Hero J:spade: A:spade:

      fold, fold, fold, MP1 calls $60, MP2 raises to $360, fold, Hero calls $360, fold, fold, fold

      FLOP ($870) 2:heart: 8:heart: 8:spade:

      MP2 checks, Hero bets $600, MP2 calls $600

      TURN ($2,070) 2:heart: 8:heart: 8:spade: 9:spade:

      MP2 checks, Hero bets $950 (AI), MP2 calls $660 (AI)

      RIVER ($3,390) 2:heart: 8:heart: 8:spade: 9:spade: Q:diamond:

      MP2 shows A:diamond: 8:diamond:
      (Pre 30%, Flop 96.0%, Turn 81.8%)

      Hero shows J:spade: A:spade:
      (Pre 70%, Flop 4.0%, Turn 18.2%)

      MP2 wins $3,390

      I saw from HEM last night that I lose when calling other people's raises.
      Should have taken better heed.
      I had other clues too: He is passive, and while I think I'm ahead, I could also be impossibly behind, so check behind is the play.

      OK, file that one away.

      The 3rd game was the most intense I've played at this limit/game type yet.
      Took 68 hands, Blinds of 800/400/25 and a Hail Mary shove just ahead of the blinds. From this game I've got a host of hands to run through the ICM Trainer. I'm sure it will say "shove 'em all" but some I just had to hold back.

      'Til tomorrow...
      --The Vorpal Swordsman



      *This is a "portmanteau" word. which combines two separate words into one. Lewis Carroll's explanation was that they were like putting things into a portmanteau, which encloses them all. Best common example is "Motel" which is a portmanteau of the earlier expression "Motor Hotel".
    • EuanM
      EuanM
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2011 Posts: 531
      "Double or Go", I love it!


      AA Slowplay hand is hilarious, everyone folds, so crap for the guy, but I guess you get totally served when slowplaying as opposed to playing normally more often than not.


      Nice blog btw, good to have you around!

      -E
    • VorpalF2F
      VorpalF2F
      Super Moderator
      Super Moderator
      Joined: 02.09.2010 Posts: 8,915
      About time for some background.
      First off, the name.
      if you go to http://www.onelook.com, and look up "vorpal" it appears in a few dictionaries, and it is generally agreed that it was coined by Lewis Carroll to describe a sword in the nonsense poem Jabberwocky.

      The F2F means "Face to Face". There were a gang of us that used to play on another game site who eventually met each other, and as we did so, we changed our names to <name>F2F

      So who am I really?
      I'm still working that out after 58 years. I've changed careers several times.

      My degree is in Geology, and I spent several years prospecting in the British Columbia wilderness in summer and skiing at Whistler in the winter.

      Done with that, I drove cab for 7 years, while doing that went back to school and got re-educated as a high-school teacher.

      That didn't last long!

      In between careers I've had a host of jobs. I currently look after the computers at a printing plant. I mostly am just the dept mgr these days, but I still get to "do stuff" which keeps the job from being a chore. I've been doing this 15 years, so I guess it counts as a career.

      Yes, the picture in my profile is me -- back when I had short hair.

      I'm married (for 31 years), have 3 groan children, and 5 grandchildren.

      Anyway, enough about me, back to poker...
    • VorpalF2F
      VorpalF2F
      Super Moderator
      Super Moderator
      Joined: 02.09.2010 Posts: 8,915
      Oh dear.
      The first game tonight, I did not really play at all.
      I completed once early in the SB with several limpers and everyone folded when I bet out w/ 2 pair.

      I called a couple more times and folded to CBet, having no hand/no draw.
      Worse, I was sandwiched in between two players who both doubled up twice, so when there were 7 players left, and I was 3/7 and I just sat and watched hand after hand go by and let the big stacks wear down the short ones.

      Along the way, I folded a LOT of hands that in a cash game would have been worth a raise, but always the thought was in my mind, "He can just min-raise you and you have to fold. Don't Panic".

      I finished ITM after only 38 hands, with a VPIP/PFR of 13/0
      What a weird week. I played one game where I was 38/38 after <50 hands, and now I play one the exact opposite.
      It's "John Wayne poker" -- "A man's gotta do what a man's gotta do."

      So this brings us to Lesson # 1 for today:
      DON'T PANIC

      2nd game, pocket 9s 16 hands in above average stack, raised a UTG limper from SB, and get shoved on.
      How quickly I forgot today's rule <sigh>.

      3rd game...
      got knocked out on the bubble: AK vs 88 and I didn't connect.

      The results at the end of Day 3:
        Days: 3
        # of $11 DoGs: 9
        Wins: 6
        PS Points: 31.5
        PS Points to go: 368.5


      Noteworthy hand -- I wasn't in it, but still...
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $100(BB) Replayer
      SB ($2,900)
      Hero ($2,320)
      UTG ($1,760)
      UTG+1 ($1,260)
      UTG+2 ($3,238)
      MP1 ($2,730)
      CO ($2,012)
      BTN ($3,780)

      Dealt to Hero 8:spade: 2:club:

      fold, fold, UTG+2 raises to $400, MP1 raises to $2,730 (AI), fold, fold, fold, fold, UTG+2 calls $2,330

      FLOP ($5,610) 8:diamond: T:diamond: Q:club:

      TURN ($5,610) 8:diamond: T:diamond: Q:club: 9:club:

      RIVER ($5,610) 8:diamond: T:diamond: Q:club: 9:club: A:diamond:

      UTG+2 shows 9:heart: 9:spade:
      (Pre 53%, Flop 63.0%, Turn 26.1%)

      MP1 shows A:club: J:club:
      (Pre 47%, Flop 37.0%, Turn 73.9%)

      MP1 wins $5,610

      This took out the LAG who had been a pain up til then.

      Have a good day...
      --VS
    • VorpalF2F
      VorpalF2F
      Super Moderator
      Super Moderator
      Joined: 02.09.2010 Posts: 8,915
      The story so far:
        Days:  4
        # of $11 DoGs:  12
        Wins:  8
        PS Points:  42
        PS Points to go:  358
      I had forgotten about bonus points, so actually,
      PS Points to go: 318

      Game #1:
      Finished ITM. Marred by one hand badly played (I think).

      Game #2:
      Got good cards, but got too frisky and finished 10th. Yuck.

      Game #3:
      Another long gruelling bubble, but I survived, thanks to some well-time good hands. I also dug deep and managed to avoid panicking

      While waiting for Game #3 to fill up, I read the Strategy article on DoGs

      Good stuff. Pretty much doing that already.
      I had thought though, that "Don't Panic" was Rule #1, but it appears that I'm wrong.


      The Roolz so far:
      Rool #1: Survive!
      Rool #2: Don't Panic



      As I learn more rules, I'll include 'em

      Oh, and I lied about only playing $11 DoGs.
      I'm in the PP Depositor's freeroll tomorrow -- gl to all everyone in it!
    • VorpalF2F
      VorpalF2F
      Super Moderator
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      Joined: 02.09.2010 Posts: 8,915
      Hmm, strange day 1/3 on the day...
      And overall:
      Days: 5
      # of $11 DoGs: 15
      Wins: 9
      (ITM = 60% ROI 9.1%)
      PS Points: 52.5
      PS Bonus: 50
      PS Points to go: 102.5/400


      With bonus pts, I am silver in 5 days. Wow. Never that fast before.

      Heartbreak Hand
      V Early in the Depositor's freeroll, and didn't want to play A-rag OOP:


      In a previous post I mentioned that I thought I had played a hand badly, yet still won. From the coach's comment in the hand evaluation, we get:
      [FONT=verdana][SIZE=16]Rool #3: No Playing Chicken![/size][/font]










      The Roolz so far:
      Rool #1: Survive!
      Rool #2: Don't Panic
      Rool #3: No Playing Chicken!

    • VorpalF2F
      VorpalF2F
      Super Moderator
      Super Moderator
      Joined: 02.09.2010 Posts: 8,915
      Today's Heartbreak Hand


      Very first hand of the tournament. Mind you, I'm never opening this loose from MP1 anyway, but still...

      Game ended in a win. Got dicey for a bit at the end, as I blinded down from 3/6 to 5/6 before the shorty panicked and shoved overly light. Fortunately 4/6 panicked too, and called overly light. Game over.

      Played two hands only the whole tournament -- This one and a blind steal.
      Fortunately, the chip leader had 4x the next biggest stack, and kept taking everybody else's chips.

      Game two started off rocky. First hand I held AQo in the BB. The BU & SB called, and I raised to 4BB. Flop comes T33 and the BU shoved so I folded. (see ROOL #1)
      Next hand, I have KK in the SB, and the BTN comes in for a 4BB open raise. Sweet revenge.

      Spent the rest of the tournament in the unusual position of chip leader.
      Scary again at the end, where two consecutive perfectly good hands came up against rockets held by shorties.
      Finished in 5th place but that is still ITM.

      We won't mention game 3.

      So: For the day, 2 out of three.
      Results to date:
      [SIZE=16]
        Days:  6
        # of $11 DoGs:  18
        Wins:  11
      [/size](ITM = 61.1%  ROI 11.1%)[size=16]
        PS Points:  63
        PS Bonus:  60
        PS Points to go:  216/400
      [/SIZE] (includes bonus pts)



      No new rules today...
      Have a great week!
      --VS







      The Roolz:
      Rool #1: Survive!
      Rool #2: Don't Panic
      Rool #3: No Playing Chicken!

    • VorpalF2F
      VorpalF2F
      Super Moderator
      Super Moderator
      Joined: 02.09.2010 Posts: 8,915
      Well, it had to happen, I suppose...
      Lost all 3 today.
      In fact, I've lost 4 straight -- 3 today, 1 yesterday.
      Since yesterday, I have been been beaten AA 4 times, once holding KK.
      I have also been beaten by KK twice.

      3 of those losses busted me out.

      Of the 6, all enterred by limping or minraising. Notes taken.

      But, I figured this would happen once in a while, and the goal is GOLD -- nothing else.

      [FONT=courier new]

                   Days:   7
          # of $11 DoGs:  21
                   Wins:  11
      (ITM = 52% ROI -4.8%)
              PS Points:  73.5
               PS Bonus:  70
        PS Points to go: 193/400
      (includes other bonus pts)[/font]

      So points taken into account, I'm already halfway!

      No new rules!

      The trick from here on will be to stop seeing AA & KK whenever I see a minraise.
    • MrS212i
      MrS212i
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.02.2011 Posts: 595
      Nice blog, good luck with your goal! I am also going for Gold status this month, but on NL2 :f_cool: Completed 4 of 20 days so far.
    • VorpalF2F
      VorpalF2F
      Super Moderator
      Super Moderator
      Joined: 02.09.2010 Posts: 8,915
      Originally posted by darrenrudolph
      Nice blog, good luck with your goal! I am also going for Gold status this month, but on NL2 :f_cool: Completed 4 of 20 days so far.
      Thanks! I had a plan to do the 20-day-deal with nl2 cash, but I just don't have the hours available.

      The $11 DoGs take 40-80 min each depending on whether is it a "speed" table or not. I've been playing only one table at a time for now just so I can see how other people are playing and take notes.
    • pokerprons
      pokerprons
      Bronze
      Joined: 30.09.2009 Posts: 420
      Great blog! I love your style.
      I hope you achieve your goal.
      I would only suggest to open another table. It is still very easy to take notes since it's FR and you will double your VPPs (or whatever they are called on the site you play at).
      Good luck
      I'll be reading this.
    • VorpalF2F
      VorpalF2F
      Super Moderator
      Super Moderator
      Joined: 02.09.2010 Posts: 8,915
      No poker tonight -- TSN (Canada's sports network) is picking up the ESPN WSOP feed.

      Woot!

      So I'll just rant a bit.


      I see people whining from time to time that their AA got cracked by a mutard w/ 45 offsuit or whatever.

      It seems to me that the problem is they expect to win
      AA only wins against 54o 82% of the time.
      So, as a poker player, you need to adjust your expectations.
      Now it would be impossible to decide on which AA hand to expect to lose, so you need to lower your expectations for each AA hand you get.

      Don't expect to win!, instead, half-expect to win, half-expect to lose. Since you are 85% to win (against a random hand), you are pleasantly surprised 35% of the time.
      [COLOR=royalblue][B]Yahoo![/b][/color]

      It is like Schrödinger's cat being half alive and half dead at the same time.

      Enjoy the WSOP!
      --VS




      Hey! New Rool

      The Roolz:
      Rool #1:  Survive!
      Rool #2:  Don't Panic
      Rool #3:  No Playing Chicken!
      Rool #4:  Half-expect to win!



      Geez, what is it with chicken!
    • VorpalF2F
      VorpalF2F
      Super Moderator
      Super Moderator
      Joined: 02.09.2010 Posts: 8,915

      As mentioned previously, I played no poker last night.
      Watched the WSOP final 3 instead.
      Felt so sad for Martin. I could just hear his thoughts as he shoved a flush draw.
      I think that would have been an easy fold for me, but that takes us to the title of this post -- fear.

      They had been playing nearly 6 hours at that point. He did not look tired, but somewhere in his mind that thought, "Ah heck, shove it -- 5 million is still OK" (or its Czech equivalent) was beginning to grow. Clearly no fear, though.

      You can't play poker as a coward. And "fatigue makes cowards of us all"

      It is not Martin I refer to though. Just after Pius was hugging the hoodie brigade after his AQ held, I got a phone call from work, "Something just crashed, all the servers seem to be down".

      I logged in from home, and yes, the primary storage server had crashed. This was midnight local, and I drove in, fixed the problem, and back in bed by 05:00.

      Up at 09:00, watched the double-or-nothing coaching, and continued to work from home, until just now when I opened PartyPoker to play my daily 3 $11 DoGs.

      But what is this?
      I have doubts running through my head -- the memory of my 4-in-a-row losses to limpers w/ AAs and KKs.
      Doubts about my skills.
      Doubts about my aggressive BRM.
      Rapid heart rate.
      Sweating armpits?!?

      Fatigue? Do I want to try to play above my level on 4 hours sleep out of 36?
      Poker decisions have be made on the cards, the position, the players, the reads and the stacks. Fear and fatigue mess up those decisions.

      So, I'm going to get a good night's sleep, spend a totally non-poker evening, and come back tomorrow.

      See you then...

    • VorpalF2F
      VorpalF2F
      Super Moderator
      Super Moderator
      Joined: 02.09.2010 Posts: 8,915
      Two wins, two noteworthy hands.

      Hand #1, in which I get frisky, get it in good pre but lose
      A squeeze play that almost worked. I should have looked at his fold-to-3Bet though. Never had he done such a cowardly thing. Not once in 3 opportunities.
      Note taken.

      Hand #2, in which I make a very bad push (I think) and win
      Why on earth would I push w/ 63o?
      I keep asking myself that. It seemed like a good idea at the time. Although ICM says no (push range for offsuit starts starts at -- it doesn't.
      I pushed only because I figured that the two remaining players did not dare call w/o the stone-cold-nuts.

      Have a look at the hands in the evaluation forums (follow the links) and let me know what you think.

      I feel good about these wins. Unlike the 4-losses-in-a-row that went before.
      For one thing, I followed rule #1 (Survive!). And I did it with very, very few "good" hands. AK twice -- both "open raise and all fold", and pocket jacks once (which I lost). That is it. Yet I'm ITM 2/3 I can DO this!

      So the results:
      [FONT=courier new]

                   Days:   8 
          # of $11 DoGs:  24 
                   Wins:  13  
      (ITM = 54%  ROI -1.5%)
              PS Points:  84
               PS Bonus:  80 
        PS Points to go: 167/400
       (includes other bonus pts)[/font]
    • VorpalF2F
      VorpalF2F
      Super Moderator
      Super Moderator
      Joined: 02.09.2010 Posts: 8,915
      ROI > 0 once again!
      Woot!
      [FONT=courier new]
      Results to date:
                   Days:   9 
          # of $11 DoGs:  27 
                   Wins:  15  
      (ITM = 56%  ROI 1.0%)
              PS Points:  94
               PS Bonus:  90 
        PS Points to go: 144/400
       (includes other bonus pts)[/font]

      My practice folding took me to a 3rd-place finish in today's freeroll.
      Highest ever in a big tourney.

      Rules #'s 1 & 2 helped most.
      Oh -- and thanks to Royal for the Double-or-Nothing coaching last Wednesday. I had been raising 2.5 - 3 BB, and today experimented w/ minraising. Works OK when you've got the bigger stack, and easier to fold if you get shoved.

      Today's noteworthy hand doesn't include me:
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $40(BB) Replayer
      SB ($2,080)
      Hero ($2,000)
      UTG ($2,000)
      UTG+1 ($2,000)
      UTG+2 ($1,960)
      MP1 ($2,000)
      MP2 ($2,000)
      MP3 ($2,000)
      CO ($2,000)
      BTN ($1,960)

      Dealt to Hero Q:heart: K:heart:

      UTG calls $40, UTG+1 calls $40, fold, fold, MP2 raises to $240, fold, fold, fold, SB raises to $2,080 (AI), fold, fold, fold, MP2 calls $1,760 (AI)

      FLOP ($4,120) 9:club: 8:diamond: J:spade:

      TURN ($4,120) 9:club: 8:diamond: J:spade: Q:spade:

      RIVER ($4,120) 9:club: 8:diamond: J:spade: Q:spade: 7:spade:

      MP2 shows K:diamond: K:club:
      (Pre 86%, Flop 67.6%, Turn 6.8%)

      SB shows 5:heart: T:spade:
      (Pre 14%, Flop 32.4%, Turn 93.2%)

      SB wins $4,120

      This is the 2nd hand of a $11 DoG.
      SB shoved from BB and all fold in first hand.

      Can you believe there are people who would pay $11 and then risk it all shoving T5 offsuit?

      He continued with shove-and-all-fold until the 5th hand.
      At this point, I called his shove w/ AQs and took it down.
      He had A7o, so I got lucky, but I used his chips wisely -- more wisely than he at any rate -- and finished ITM for 2/3 on the day.

      Till tomorrow,
      --VS



      The Rules of Poker:
      Rule #1:  Survive!
      Rule #2:  Don't Panic
      Rule #3:  No Playing Chicken!
      Rule #4:  Half-expect to win!



      *note: Rules links go to blog post where rule is decribed
    • VorpalF2F
      VorpalF2F
      Super Moderator
      Super Moderator
      Joined: 02.09.2010 Posts: 8,915
      That's odd -- I'm missing the post for Day 10 -- in which I crow about making it halfway w/ my bankroll still intact.

      Day 10 (Saturday) was not so good only ITM once in 3 tries.
      Took Sunday off which bring us to today:
      2 ITM finishes - meh.

      [color=red][FONT=courier new]

      Results to date:
                   Days:  11 
          # of $11 DoGs:  33 
                   Wins:  18  
      (ITM = 55%  ROI -0.8%)
              PS Points: 115 
               PS Bonus: 110 
        PS Points to go: 102/400
       (includes other bonus pts)[/font]
      [/color]

      I seriously need to get myself a good ICM tool.
      I'm hoping to find a decent reference, from which I can create a script that will import a hand history file, and do all of the hands where my M is < 8.

      Someone suggested I play more than one at a time, so I've been doing all 3 more - or - less at once. No big difference, except I don't have much time to take notes. In fact today I did not even notice that I had finished on one table, until it popped up with congratulations & asking if I would like to play another.

      Until next time then...
      --VS
    • VorpalF2F
      VorpalF2F
      Super Moderator
      Super Moderator
      Joined: 02.09.2010 Posts: 8,915
      OK, not so bad -- ITM 2 out of 3 today.
      The one I lost, I pushed in my ICM pushing range, and the caller called light, but had 55 to my A8s, and I did not connect.
      this is the ICM calculation
      I had no other opportunities to push prior to that.

      I worry about two things: Pushing too light, and even more worrisome lately is not pushing when I should -- but at least this game I didn't miss any reasonably sane opportunities.

      Of the two tourneys I finished ITM, both were pretty standard, although the second won took a fair bit of "Don't Panic" exercise.

      Remember:
      Rule #2:  Don't Panic


      This hand illustrates this:
      UTG+1 was down to M=4.5, but was still 6th out of the 9 remaining.
      Although the blinds were approaching him, there were 2 outer players worse than him, and one darn close.

      According to the ICM Calculator he is WAAAYY light on his push. There are 8 people behind him, and with calling ranges in the 5 - 10% range, it must be getting pretty close to 50-50 that one of them at least has a hand in his call range.

      Oddly this player was the 2nd nittiest player at the table, and perhaps he was banking on that to get everyone [B]ELSE[/B] to panic and fold.

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $400(BB) Replayer
      SB ($1,520)
      BB ($3,040)
      UTG ($1,800)
      UTG+1 ($1,890)
      UTG+2 ($2,010)
      Hero ($3,620)
      MP2 ($720)
      CO ($2,960)
      BTN ($2,440)

      Dealt to Hero 3:spade: 5:club:

      fold, UTG+1 raises to $1,890 (AI), fold, fold, fold, CO raises to $2,960 (AI), fold, fold, fold

      FLOP ($4,380) 4:diamond: K:diamond: A:diamond:

      TURN ($4,380) 4:diamond: K:diamond: A:diamond: T:heart:

      RIVER ($4,380) 4:diamond: K:diamond: A:diamond: T:heart: Q:heart:

      CO shows Q:club: Q:spade:
      (Pre 85%, Flop 61.8%, Turn 79.5%)

      UTG+1 shows 8:spade: 5:diamond:
      (Pre 15%, Flop 38.2%, Turn 20.5%)

      CO wins $4,380

      [color=green][FONT=courier new]

      Results to date:
                   Days:  12 
          # of $11 DoGs:  36 
                   Wins:  20  
      (ITM = 56%  ROI 1.0%)
              PS Points: 126 
               PS Bonus: 120 
        PS Points to go:  81/400
       (includes other bonus pts)[/font]
      [/color]

      'til tomorrow, then...
      --VS
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