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[NL2-NL10] 2nl AA vs bad turn

    • ZeProst
      Joined: 13.02.2010 Posts: 10
      Villain is 44/19 af:1.9 after 66 hands. not much info on his tendencies.

      IPoker Network $2.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 1500996
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BB: $5.03
      UTG: $3.30
      Hero (CO): $2.24
      BTN: $5.76
      SB: $2.25

      Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero is CO with A:diamond: A:spade:
      UTG raises to $0.06, Hero raises to $0.21, 2 folds, BB calls $0.19, 1 fold

      Flop: ($0.49) 2:diamond: 4:heart: 6:diamond: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.49, BB calls $0.49

      Turn: ($1.47) 3:heart: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero checks

      River: ($1.47) 6:club: (2 players)
      BB bets $4.33, Hero folds

      On the flop i bet pot for value since he seems to be calling a lot and for protection against draws but mainly for value. The turn is one of the worst cards for me. So here is my question:
      Would it be +Ev to bet the turn for like 40-55% of the pot for thin value? Are there a lot of 6's, draws and pairs+draws in his range to make a turn cbet profitable here ?
      On the river if i had a straight should i have called ? I don't really think he ever has a set / two pair before the river , as he would have most likely raised the flop on this kind of board... or am i just giving him to much thinking level credit :P ?
  • 3 replies