[NL2-NL10] 99s river bluff catch Nl10 SH

    • Wacko118
      Wacko118
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.06.2009 Posts: 300
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) IPoker
      SB ($8.53)
      Hero ($9.85)
      UTG ($14)
      UTG+1 ($10.50)
      CO ($10.64)
      BTN ($12.04)

      Dealt to Hero 9:diamond: 9:spade:

      fold, fold, CO raises to $0.30, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.20

      FLOP ($0.65) 3:club: Q:heart: 5:diamond:

      Hero checks, CO bets $0.40, Hero raises to $1.20, CO calls $0.80

      TURN ($3.05) 3:club: Q:heart: 5:diamond: K:heart:

      Hero checks, CO checks

      RIVER ($3.05) 3:club: Q:heart: 5:diamond: K:heart: 6:club:

      Hero checks, CO bets $1.70, Hero calls $1.70


      Opp is 20/16/2.1
      61cbet and 21 fold to cbet and a 31% WTSD.

      The board is dry, so i dont know how my rep of set actually looks as if i was opp im never folding a Q or maybe even some overcards.

      I fully expect to have to just check fold the hand on the turn but he checks to me.

      I would of thought a Q would bet the turn as i look very weak? and i think a K definitely bets to extract value from when i have a Q. Also would overs bet to try and shut my bluff check raises down?

      So on the river im really not sure what he has, i get nearly 3:1 on my money.
      He also has a 9.1 river aggression much higher than his normal 2.1 value.
      Am i good here 1 in 3 times?
      I reckon he either has a Q or a medium to small pocket pair here?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Wacko118,

      Well, even if you Check the turn then most likely he wouldn't bluff ever the river. You can easily Check/Fold it there. He will have a value-bet. If he wanted to bluff then why didn't he do that on the turn?

      Best Regards.