[NL2-NL10] NL4 top set on the turn

    • qMantas
      Joined: 26.10.2010 Posts: 202
      MP 12/10 3b: 5.9 after 42 hands
      BB 43/15 3b: 2 after 151 hands

      Fold turn ? ?(
      Go all-in on the turn ?
      Do we always beat on the turn... ?
      When i call turn reraise I said to myself if the board don't pairs I folding to a shove but...

      Party Poker $4 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1503038
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BTN: $4.72
      Hero (SB): $4.17
      BB: $4.10
      UTG: $6.59
      MP: $6.27
      CO: $4.15

      Pre Flop: ($0.06) Hero is SB with 8 :club: 8 :diamond:
      1 fold, MP raises to $0.16, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.14, BB calls $0.12

      Flop: ($0.48) 5 :spade: 8 :spade: 2 :diamond: (3 players)
      Hero checks, BB checks, MP checks

      Turn: ($0.48) 4 :heart: (3 players)
      Hero bets $0.40, BB raises to $1.20, MP folds, Hero calls $0.80

      River: ($2.88) Q :diamond: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BB bets $2.74 all in, Hero calls $2.74
  • 2 replies
    • Meemawuk
      Joined: 27.05.2009 Posts: 758
      I lose a stack here too. I think its too weak to ever fold this hand. I might even just shove it on the turn whilst me might have some kind of draw. I dont think he will fold. Do you give him 63 in a raised pot? A3 is a small part of his range IMO.
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello qMantas,

      Flop: Well, actually I don't even like in first place the Check on flop. I'd just bet myself out to protect my hand.

      As played
      Turn: I'd most likely just get it in right here. Might even protect your hand. He may easily even have worse sets here in his range and you ain't drawing dead here anyways. We need ~43% equity, although against something like:

      Board: 5:spade: 8:spade: 2:diamond:  4:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    54.08%  54.08%   0.00% { 55-44, 22, A3s, 76s, 76o }
      UTG+1  45.92%  45.92%   0.00% { 8d8c }

      And they are even mostly only made hands, whilst he could even have worse.

      Best Regards.