# [NL2-NL10] AJs: Push or Fold?

• Bronze
Joined: 08.10.2009
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem \$0.02(BB) Replayer
SB (\$1.71)
BB (\$5.73)
UTG (\$0.65)
UTG+1 (\$1.97)
Hero (\$2.03)
CO (\$1.98)
BTN (\$1.45)

Dealt to Hero J A

fold, fold, Hero raises to \$0.08, fold, BTN calls \$0.08, fold, fold

FLOP (\$0.19) Q J 6

Hero bets \$0.14, BTN raises to \$0.40, Hero calls \$0.26

TURN (\$0.99) Q J 6 K

Hero checks, BTN bets \$0.97 (AI), Hero?

Simulated 100000 Holdem Hands (Monte Carlo)
Simulation by Slice - The ev++ Equity Calculator
Board :: Qs Jd 6s Kh
 code: ``` Player Equity Win Hi Tie Hi Range 1 34.7 31.6 6.2 JJ-22,AQs-A8s,AQo-ATo,KTs+,KQo,QTs+ 2 65.3 62.2 6.2 JsAs ```

Equity needed 33.11%

So, I should shove here. Is that correct? Can you please help me on the way I review it?

TY

I may slim down the range to

JJ, 66, ATs, ATo, KJs+, KQo, QJs

and than the equity is:

Simulated 100000 Holdem Hands (Monte Carlo)
Simulation by Slice - The ev++ Equity Calculator
Board :: QsJd6sKh
 code: ``` Player Equity Win Hi Tie Hi Range 1 71.5 70.4 2.2 JJ, 66, ATs, ATo, KJs+, KQo, QJs 2 28.5 27.3 2.2 AsJs ```

and

the shove became -EV as my equity will be 28% against 33,11% of equity required to breakeven.

So, how I must read this hand? Which evaluation is the correct one? And most important, which one is the correct way to anlyse this situation?

TY
• 3 replies
• Black
Joined: 20.07.2008
Hello kiromanAAKK,

Against such a stack and spot I'd just ship it right on flop to maybe even gain small amount of fold equity. Our hand is strong enough there, Calling wont bring us far since we just had to fold it on turn.

But obviously it's not that wrong if you want to take more passive line.

Although none of the equity analyzes ain't correct. He might even sometimes have draws there, a lot of Qx hands and maybe even Jx himself. Doesn't seem to be really good player according his stack.

Best Regards.
• Bronze
Joined: 08.10.2009
Ok, TY!

So, can u please write down what range is best to assign to villian?

TY
• Black
Joined: 20.07.2008
Originally posted by kiromanAAKK
Ok, TY!

So, can u please write down what range is best to assign to villian?

TY
Even against some strong type of hands, for example like this:

Board: Q J 6
Equity     Win     Tie
UTG    54.16%  54.07%   0.09% { QQ-JJ, 66, AQs, KQs, QTs+, KsTs, AQo, KQo, QTo+ }
UTG+1  45.84%  45.75%   0.09% { AsJs }

We are still getting decent equity.