[NL2-NL10] NL10 SH QK in UTG

    • GSG777
      GSG777
      Bronze
      Joined: 11.05.2010 Posts: 730
      Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 1503869
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      Hero (UTG): $14.18 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 16, 3B: 5, AF: 4.7, Hands: 17551
      CO: $2.55 - VPIP: 25, PFR: 20, 3B: 0, AF: Infinity, Hands: 20
      BTN: $4.08 - VPIP: 63, PFR: 34, 3B: 7, AF: 1.8, Hands: 32
      SB: $10.41 - VPIP: 30, PFR: 25, 3B: 11, AF: 2.2, Hands: 186
      BB: $7.01 - VPIP: 29, PFR: 14, 3B: 0, AF: 2.5, Hands: 21

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is UTG with Q :club: K :club:
      Hero raises to $0.30, 1 fold, BTN calls $0.30, 1 fold, BB calls $0.20

      Flop: ($0.95) 2 :club: T :heart: 7 :club: (3 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.68, BTN folds, BB calls $0.68

      Turn: ($2.31) J :spade: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $1.65, BB raises to $3.30, Hero raises to $13.20, BB calls $2.73 all in

      River: ($14.37) 6 :diamond: (2 players - 1 is all in)

      looks like a spewy fish .
  • 2 replies
    • yaxkukmian
      yaxkukmian
      Bronze
      Joined: 24.12.2007 Posts: 2,020
      Flop: I would bet less here - $0,60. If we bet more we might get the idea we're pot commited on the turn or river so we will find fold harder. I think 60c or 68c don't make any difference here, if they're calling they're calling.

      Turn: We get nice card but at the moment we don't have anything. Since we have position I would prefer checking behind. With your bet pot becomes $5,60 so since he has only $4 left we can expect we don't have any fold equity on the river. If we decide to bet I think folding is still superior since some of our outs are probably dead and we have less outs than we think.

      Don't make an assumptions after just 21 hands. Even against wide range your equity is not great so you're just gambling...

      Board: T:heart: 7:club: 2:club:  J:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    40.59%  34.62%   5.97% { KcQc }
      BB     59.41%  53.45%   5.97% { TT, 77, 22, AJs-ATs, KJs+, QJs, JTs, ATo, KJo+, QJo, JTo }
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello GSG777,

      Do you think there will be many hands what fold on turn? Even some hands completed, 89/JT and so on which most likely are going to continue. Rather go for a Check-behind and take the free card while your fold equity will be pretty small. And at the same time against strong made hands our equity ain't gonna be very good.

      Board: 2:club: T:heart: 7:club:  J:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    30.35%  30.35%   0.00% { KcQc }
      UTG+1  69.65%  69.65%   0.00% { TT, 77, 22, JTs, 98s, JTo, 98o }

      Best Regards.