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[NL2-NL10] NL10 SH KQ in SB

    • GSG777
      Joined: 11.05.2010 Posts: 730
      Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players -

      BTN: $10.65 - VPIP: 14, PFR: 10, 3B: 0, AF: 5.0, Hands: 63
      Hero (SB): $10.72 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 16, 3B: 5, AF: 4.7, Hands: 17551
      BB: $10.82 - VPIP: 11, PFR: 9, 3B: 0, AF: 1.0, Hands: 53
      UTG: $8.02 - VPIP: 47, PFR: 19, 3B: 0, AF: 4.5, Hands: 85
      MP: $10.00 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 12, 3B: 6, AF: 1.4, Hands: 254
      CO: $5.51 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 16, 3B: 11, AF: 2.1, Hands: 257

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is SB with K :spade: Q :club:
      2 folds, CO raises to $0.30, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.25, 1 fold

      Flop: ($0.70) 9 :spade: K :diamond: 9 :diamond: (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50

      Turn: ($1.70) J :heart: (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $1.21, Hero calls $1.21

      River: ($4.12) 6 :club: (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $2.94, Hero raises to $5.88, CO calls $0.56 all in

      It's ok my line ?
  • 3 replies
    • yaxkukmian
      Joined: 24.12.2007 Posts: 2,020
      This kind of hand is very hard to play OOP. Opponent seems tight and more importantly he's midstack therefore I would be inclined to play it more aggresively if I hit.

      Preflop: I don't like defending with this hand since we won't be able to win big but we might lose a stack with it.

      Board: K:diamond: 9:diamond: 9:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      CO     28.77%  25.04%   3.72% { 66+, A7s+, A5s, K9s+, Q9s+, JTs, ATo+, KTo+, QJo }
      BU     71.23%  67.51%   3.72% { KsQc }

      I would go for c/c here. There are some draws so going broke here wouldn't be the best. We will see what he does on the turn. Giving him 2 free cards is not great but we don't have other option.

      Turn: When he bets here we only have two moves. C/f or c/r-shove. We won't like many rivers so if we think we're ahead we should protect our hand. Since I think he's range for 2nd barreling looks like this...

      Board: K:diamond: 9:diamond: 9:spade:  J:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      CO     63.70%  56.09%   7.61% { JJ+, 99, AKs, A9s, KJs+, K9s, QTs-Q9s, AdQd, AdJd, AdTd, JdTd, AKo, KJo+, QJo }
      BU     36.30%  28.69%   7.61% { KsQc }

      I don't think he does it with KT. His bet looks strong to me so I would be more inclined to folding here. If you decide to call you have to call the river too.

      River: We made a call on the turn and now he bets for the third time... Only hands we beat are busted FD and KT. We might split with KQ but more often than not we're behind. I don't like going broke here. I don't think he 3 barrels with busted FD so if we take that into account his range looks like this...

      Board: K:diamond: 9:diamond: 9:spade:  J:heart:  6:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      CO     90.00%  82.50%   7.50% { KK+, JJ, 99, AKs, A9s, KJs+, K9s, QTs-Q9s, AdJd, AKo, KJo+ }
      BU     10.00%   2.50%   7.50% { KsQc }
    • sausage646
      Joined: 30.03.2010 Posts: 567
      Fold turn - usually these 16/16 aggressive mid stacks will cb bluff only flop, than give up, so you are not beating anything on turn...
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello GSG777,

      There ain't gonna be many hands what you beat on the turn. Only split is most likely possible. I guess he would even Check behind his draws there.

      Even if you consider to continue then you should just Check/Shove the turn, no point to Check/Call and give away another free card.

      Best Regards.